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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Thursday, 21 June 18
CHINESE REDUCED COAL IMPORT RESTRICTIONS - CAIXIN GLOBAL
Caixin Global reported that the Chinese government has reduced restrictions on coal imports at the nation’s major ports in response to concer ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
INDIAN GOVERNMENT ADMITS COAL SHORTAGE, ASKS DISCOMS TO IMPORT - TIMES OF INDIA
Times of India reported that the power ministry has advised all state governments and private power distribution companies to import coal as Coal I ...
Tuesday, 19 June 18
WCA RESPONDS TO BP STATISTICAL REVIEW OF WORLD ENERGY 2018
Responding to BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy 2018, Benjamin Sporton, Chief Executive of the World Coal Association (WCA) said, &ldqu ...
Wednesday, 13 June 18
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO DECLINE BY 2% TO 756 MILLION SHORT TONS MMST IN 2018 - EIA
EIA forecasts U.S. coal production to decline by 2% to 756 million short tons (MMst) in 2018.
According to EIA's Short-Term Ener ...
Wednesday, 13 June 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - SOPHIE COTZIAS
2018 marks quite a few milestones for Greek Shipping. No need to detail again the greatness of Greek Shipping or the singular position that Greek s ...
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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