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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Wednesday, 22 August 18
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 480K TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL FOR BORYEONG POWER PLANT & SHIN BORYEONG POWER PLANTS
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 480,000 mt of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origi ...
Wednesday, 22 August 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE PANAGOPOULOS
During the most quite week of the summer period we witnessed a trade war between United States and Turkey. A battle, which started with the arrest ...
Monday, 20 August 18
SUPRAMAX: OVERALL IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE BSI INDEX WITH GAINS MADE - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A week of largely unfulfilled expectations with holidays again curbing activity. Rates remained essentially healthy, but despite bad wea ...
Friday, 17 August 18
DO ARBITRATION AGREEMENTS IN BILLS OF LADING BIND THEIR HOLDERS? - WFW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Bills of lading are a crucial part of the security package traditionally sought by trade finance providers.
...
Friday, 17 August 18
MALAYSIA'S MANJUNG 4 - WORLD COAL ASSOCIATION
According to the IEA’s Energy Access Outlook 2017 report, nearly all of those who gained access to electricity worldwide in the last 16 years ...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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