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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Wednesday, 25 December 19
EXHAUST GAS CLEANING SYSTEMS (SCRUBBER) GUIDANCE - THE STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In a few weeks, IMO’s ‘global sulphur cap’ will take effect. The permitted levels of SOx in ship emissi ...
Wednesday, 25 December 19
INDONESIAN BUKIT ASAM TARGETS TO MINE 30 MLN T OF COAL IN 2020 - REUTERS
Indonesian state-owned coal miner PT Bukit Asam targets to produce around 30 million tonnes of coal in 2020, compared with an estimate of 28.5 mill ...
Wednesday, 25 December 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As another year in the shipping industry is coming to an end, it is interesting to look at the dry bulk and tanker markets and how these performed ...
Monday, 23 December 19
VLSFO PRICING & AVAILABILITY NEEDS CAREFUL WATCHING - INTEGR8 FUELS
As we approach January 1st 2020 , the VLSFO price premium to HSFO has widened considerably
We are clearly well into the IMO 2020 transition; ch ...
Sunday, 22 December 19
NMDC DIVERSIFIES INTO COAL MINING - THE HINDU
Iron ore mining major NMDC has been allocated two coal blocks in Jharkhand for commercial mining by the Union Ministry of Coal.
Both ...
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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