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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Friday, 04 September 20
IN A DEEPENING DEBT HOLE OF $34 BILLION, INDONESIA’S PLN MUST STOP DIGGING - IEEFA
The utility has added IDR100 trillion in debt annually for the last five years
Utilities globally started changing the way they do business ye ...
Friday, 04 September 20
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR AUSTRALIAN MIN 5,700 NCV COAL FOR NOVEMBER
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd, has issued an International tender for 260,000 MT Min.5,700 kcal/kg NCV coal November, 2020 loading. Acc ...
Thursday, 03 September 20
BRINGING SERVICES OF FTCCI CLOSER TO THE EXPORTERS AT GMR AIR CARGO COMPLEX AT SHAMSHABAD
Press Release: “FTCCI Trade Facilitation Services at your doorstep now” says J.S. Chandrashekar, IRS., Principal Commissioner of Custom ...
Thursday, 03 September 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINS FLAT - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price remained flat during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Wednesday, 02 September 20
COAL PRODUCTION FALLS 7% IN APR-AUG; OFF TAKE DIPS 13.4% - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
In the month of August coal off take also increased 9.3% y-o-y to 44.34 MT as compared with 40.57 MT in the same period last year.
C ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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