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Tuesday, 14 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 Uncertainty in the global geopolitical sphere seems to have not come to an end along with 2019, as 2020 commenced with renewed tensions between the US and Iran.These events escalated considerably and once again brought to the forefront the possibility for further geopolitical instability and disruptions to the global economic ecosystem (including along with it the shipping markets). The shockwaves of the increased tensions between the two countries pushed oil price above the US$ 70 per barrel mark, while gold, the safe haven choice for investors, rose to a seven-year high of around US$1,575/oz. The slowdown noted during the last few days though has helped alleviate recent concerns regarding global trade, but nevertheless the initial signals of 2020 are not exactly encouraging.
The risk of potential supply disruptions in the Middle East region has increased since last week, a fact that could generate significant problems for shipping routes from the Middle East Gulf to Europe and Asia. Despite the assurances made by Saudi Arabian= officials that oil production and supply will not encounter any issues, no one can predict with certainty what the next steps by Iran or the U.S. will be. Oil and LNG are the= commodities that are in the highest danger from the recent escalation in the tensions
between Washington and Teheran. It is worth mentioning that the Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important oil chokepoint with the daily trade passing through in 2018 being estimated at 21 million b/d. Iran had in the past threatened to close the passage in case of war in the region. This uncertainty is likely to lead to higher freight rates in the region (possibly with higher risk insurance premiums), but with the impact that a further escalation may have to the global trade being yet difficult to predict.
Putting the Middle East conflict aside, focus is also placed on the continuing trade tension saga between the US and China, with Phase 1 of the trade deal between the two countries expected to be signed later this week. The effect of this deal is questionable, as the 86-page agreement has not yet been made public, with several experts doubting how effective this deal is. Given that China’s growth rate is expected to decelerate even further this year (World Bank estimates a rate of 5.9% for 2020), market participants are waiting on the trade and economic data that China is expected to publish later this week in order to shape a better view as to the prospects of this Asian giant. The impact from the trade conflict were significant last year, with global trade growth being just 1.4%, the lowest since the 2008 financial crisis. This year global trade growth is expected to slightly improve but with the rate still remaining at comparatively low levels. Meanwhile, at the end of this month, we also expect Britain to leave the EU, a step that will bring the two on the next phase of the negotiation process where the future trading relationship between the two sides will be discussed. The result of these negotiations and the impact that they may have on the global economy is still fairly sketchy. Furthermore, we must not forget that we have the US presidential elections set to take place this November, the result of which will surely have a long-term impact on the US, as well the global economy.
All in all, global growth forecasts are not so optimistic for 2020, with several investment experts suggesting that the likelihood of recession this year has increased and even if we do not encounter one this year, the growth rate will remain close to the low of 2.3-2.5% that we witnessed last year as well.
Yiannis Vamvakas
Research Analyst
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Monday, 04 January 21
U.S. RENEWABLE ENERGY CONSUMPTION SURPASSES COAL FOR THE FIRST TIME IN OVER 130 YEARS - EIA
In 2019, U.S. annual energy consumption from renewable sources exceeded coal consumption for the first time since before 1885, according to the U.S ...
Monday, 04 January 21
BLISS FOR SHIPOWNERS! DAMAGES MAY BE CLAIMED IN ADDITION TO DEMURRAGE FOR VOYAGE CHARTERPARTY DELAY - WFW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In a significant decision for the maritime sector, The Eternal Bliss[1], the English Commercial Court has resol ...
Sunday, 03 January 21
INDIA: COMMERCE MINISTRY LAUNCHES COAL IMPORT MONITORING SYSTEM - PTI
CIMS shall require importers to submit advance information in an online system for imports of items and obtain an automatic registration number by ...
Wednesday, 30 December 20
A LOOK BACK INTO 2020: THE HEADWINDS, THE TAILWINDS AND EVERYTHING IN BETWEEN - SIGNAL
There is no doubt that 2020 has been a turbulent year for commercial shipping. The coronavirus pandemic has shaken the global maritime transport. T ...
Tuesday, 29 December 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.66 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 134.78 points Monday, up 0.66 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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