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Tuesday, 17 December 19
YEAR 2019: IT IS LOOKING SET THAT THIS YEAR WILL BE ONE OF THE SLOWEST IN TERMS OF DRY BULK NEWBUILDING ACTIVITY - ALLIED
 With just two weeks remaining before 2019 comes to an end, it is now looking set that this year will be one of the slowest in terms of dry bulk newbuilding activity. New ordering activity has been curtailed significantly (especially when compared with the two preceding years) and the worldwide orderbook has significantly deflated during the past 12 months, as a result of the excessive volatility that has dominated the freight market this year, Allied Shipping Research in its latest weekly report.
According to Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping Research, beginning with the kingpin of the dry bulk sector, the Capes, has definitely had a remarkable year, with the first half of the year seeing rates hover for several weeks at levels as low as US$3,500 per day, while during the final part this same market managed to reach a peak of just above US$38,000 and held for several months above the US$ 20,000 mark. This instability in the market seems to have enhanced concerns amongst potential investors and as a result we have seen a mere 138 new newbuilding contracts in the year so far.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, this is a significant decline compared to 199 orders that were placed last year, as well as below the 147 orders made back in 2017. As a result, the orderbook has scaled back during the year by approximately 18%, while the orderbook to fleet ratio now holding at around 11%. With 122 vessels expected to be delivered in 2020, second thoughts will be lingering as to the prospects of placing any further new orders any time soon. A similar pattern was to be seen in the Panamax segment, with both the number of new contracts and the total orderbook having thinned out compared to last year. Interest for newbuildings has dropped, with a meagre 22 new vessels having been added to the orderbook this year. The significant amount of deliveries that took place this year is likely to have played a key role in this trend, as we noted 122 vessels being delivered, 126% more than in 2018. If we add to this the 143 units that are anticipated for delivery in 2020, it looks to be a set affair that the bearish sentiment regarding new orders will continue through into the new year.
Moving onto the smaller size segments, Yiannis Vamvakas said, it looks as though the Supramax/ Ultramax size has managed to hold onto much of its appeal, as we saw 44 new contracts placed during the year, just 10 less than 2018. The freight market here too may have been volatile, but with the range having been much thinner the perceived risk seems to have been considerably lower in the eyes of most. In terms of seasonality, the most active period was the May-June period, holding 57% of the total orders placed. Despite this, the orderbook to fleet ratio still stands at around 6.5%. Given that the freight market is showing signs of improving and coupled by the overall more dependable performance noted in this size segment, it is likely that we will continue to see interest for new orders sway this way more so than what we will see in some of the other size segments.
Moving on to the Handysize, Allied Shipping Research noted that, a much more stable market was seen, with 20 new contracts being added to the orderbook, a number almost identical to that of 2018. The orderbook has dropped on an annual basis by approximately 20%, while the new contracts to fleet ratio ended at 0.8%, while it is worth mentioning that the last order noted thus far was back in June. The slowdown in dry bulk newbuilding activity has undoubtedly been an encouraging factor as it boosts optimism that the supply side of the industry will not slip beyond manageable levels. However, the scheduled deliveries for 2020 are still at relatively high levels. As such it looks as though next year will prove pivotal in determine the longer-term prospects of the market.
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Saturday, 07 December 19
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL PRICE SURGE, WHILE OTHERS LANGUISH, IS TROUBLING - REUTERS
Coal prices around the world are gently sliding as demand from top importers such as China, India and even Europe remains subdued amid a so far mil ...
Saturday, 07 December 19
SUPRAMAX: OVERALL, THE BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX REMAINED IN POSITIVE MODE, DESPITE SOME AREAS LACKING FRESH ACTIVITY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
This week the Capesize market maintained healthy earnings, as an end of year surge took the Capesize 5TC back up to $25,202 by mid-wee ...
Friday, 06 December 19
INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FOR DECEMBER INCREASES BY US 3 CENTS MOM
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
Thursday, 05 December 19
IMO 2020 IS ABOUT TO GET REAL - GAVIN THOMPSON
As I write this edition of the APAC Energy Buzz from my desk in Singapore I can see ships. Lots of ships. No surprise given that Singapore is among ...
Wednesday, 04 December 19
FITCH RATINGS: CASH FLOW GENERATION TO SLOW DOWN FOR INDONESIAN COAL MINERS
Fitch Ratings' negative outlook on the Indonesian coal-mining sector reflects our view of weaker cash flow generation on account of declining c ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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