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Tuesday, 26 February 19
THE RELATIVELY DISAPPOINTING SCENE PORTRAYED IN THE DRY BULK MARKET RIGHT NOW - ALLIED SHIPBROKING
 The relatively disappointing scene portrayed in the dry bulk market right now (especially in the Capesize segment) is undoubtedly one of the prevailing topics as of late. From the start of this month the BDI has eased back to below 700bp and having recorded throughout this period an average of 624bp, there is little room for any bullish views to be portrayed at this point.
According to Allied research analyst, Thomas Chasapis, the focus now, is as to what sort of contagion the recent trends are having on other parts of the dry bulk market.
Allied latest report says let’s have a quick look at the paper market, with its portrayal of a steep reverse in sentiment and the new market “standard” which is prevailing right now. In the Capesize segment the FFA 5TC-average index figure for the remaining 2019 is now roughly at US$ 11,200 pd, while just at the end of the previous year, the figure was in the region of US$ 16,304 pd, a decline of 31.3%. Taking the same comparison for the other main size segments, the trend is fairly similar. For the 4TC-average of the Panamax, the decline was 13.4%, for the 10TC-average for Supramaxes was 7.5%, and finally, the Handysize TC average had a downward correction of 10%. If these corrections seem “petty” (except maybe that of the Capesize), just imagine where these numbers would be if we hadn’t witnessed this last 2-week mini rally in the freight market for the Panamax (+16.3%), Supramax (+62.9%) and Handysize (+23.9%).
Thomas Chasapis noted, many would argue that the FFA market is not the best reflection of forward sentiment for the actual freight market, with the argument being that a different set of drivers influence FFAs, some of which are not core fundamentals of the actual freight market. In any case, taking new-building activity as a secondary indicator as to forward sentiment the overall picture seems to be relatively the same. Looking at the past 3-months, total new contracting activity for the dry bulk segment as a whole in terms of tonnage capacity was 6.12MMdwt. While during the same period one year back, the equivalent figure was 13.1MMdwt, indicating a drop of 53.3%. Certainly, the main share in this decline is mostly attributed to the Capesize segment, which in fact truly has the most problematic and puzzling outlook for the time being. Notwithstanding this, even if we take as an assumption that most interested parties have already adopted a more conservative attitude, the slide in terms of new investments is still clearly apparent.
As a final key measure as to the prevailing forward sentiment we could also take a peek at what we have seen in the Sale & Purchase market as of late. In the year so far, we are a seeing a drop of 37.8% in terms of number of transactions taking place compared to the same period back in 2018, while in terms of total tonnage capacity this drop amplifies to 40.4%, also reflecting in part the shift in preference towards the smaller size segments. Moreover, if it wasn’t for the robust activity noted in the Panamax segment, nourished in part by the plethora of sales candidates circulated as of late in the market, we would be facing a significantly bigger drop. So, given that there isn’t the necessary optimism and/or appetite to push things further at this point, there is a general lack in confidence to push for any “bargain” hunting either. The correct description here therefore seems to be a that of a market in a “stand still”, something that may well prove to be more perilous than a market that has a clear direction even if that direction is one of a downward spiral.
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Monday, 01 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL AT RISK FROM CHINA MOVE, WARNS GOVERNMENT REPORT - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
A new government report warns China’s restrictions on coal imports is the number one risk for Australian coal this year and could lead to a s ...
Saturday, 30 March 19
KOEN INVITES BIDS FOR 450,000 TONS OF (SUB) BITUMINOUS COAL FOR H1 AND JUNE 2019
South Korea state-owned utility KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) issued a tender for total 450,000 MT of min. 4300, 3500 and 5600 NCV ...
Wednesday, 27 March 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Contrary to the December 2018 forecasts but in line with the expectations of the dry bulk market, the first quarter of the year closed negatively. ...
Saturday, 23 March 19
IT WAS A POSITIVE WEEK FOR THE HANDY SIZE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The big ships endured heavy losses last week extinguishing any hopes from the recent minor rally. Negative sentiment gained pace throu ...
Friday, 22 March 19
CHINA MARKET: COAL OUT IN THE COLD - BUSINESS RECORDER
Though China maintains there is no ban, China-bound Australian coal shipments are looking for a new home. For the past few months, coal cargoes are ...
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Showing 1441 to 1445 news of total 6871 |
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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