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Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
 Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in combination with the deadly dam accident in Brazil earlier this year. The latter is a serious disruption that has already had an immediate negative impact on Capesize earnings. Brazil is the world’s second largest iron ore producer country after Australia, with approx. 70% of exports going to East Asia, and most iron ore consists of the highest quality found worldwide that does not require much processing. In addition, other production sites in Brazil are now in the public eye and currently under scrutiny when it comes down to their procedures, safety protocols and infrastructure and might not be able to increase production as desired. Hence, the imminent decrease of Brazil’s output will definitely reduce ton-mile revenue for Capes. The question now is if China is able to, and if they will respond with an increase of their domestic production from their high-cost mines, which will furthermore keep Cape revenues from rebounding to previous higher observed levels.
Besides the Capesize segment, the sudden drop and the swift reversal of sentiment was observed across all major trading routes and all ship sizes. This could be due to the turbulence deriving from the US-China trade war. While many reports/forecasts have been published and a lot of opinions have been heard, the only sure thing is that it adds uncertainty to the an already worrying global economy and a puzzled (amid coming regulations) shipping ecosystem. In the beginning, when the second worldwide largest economy showed signals of slowing down and seemed unable to maintain growth figures, analysts were pointing to the trade war. Recently though, many are wondering if a Chinese structural and fundamental problem will soon surface. In my point of view, if such problem does exist, the shipping world should focus on how the Chinese administration would tackle it. The country’s administration is currently signaling potential further stimulus measures and several are debating if such a program will have a positive impact on seaborne trade and to what degree.
The very slow fresh cargo supply of the past couple of months resulted in a slowdown of SnP activity, which is down 33% ytd. However, from the start of last week a more normal flow of cargo is observed and the BDI showed signs of recovering. At the same time, comparing past week’s SnP market to the start of this month we noted fresh prospective buyers coming on-board ships, while proven buyers took the opportunity to test sellers with levels depicting current market conditions and establishing new market levels.
Whilst some owners worry that we are entering a global bear market and are skeptical if this downturn was an indicator of a more structural issue, the BDI is now on a positive trend and others believe that we are heading towards more stable days having just experienced a short parenthesis in a market that is generally moving towards a healthy recovery and in that respect they maintain their bullish views and appetite for candidates offered at levels in line with current freight rates.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neith ...
Monday, 07 January 19
THE NEWCASTLE BENCHMARK SPOT PRICE IS FORECAST TO DECLINE FROM AN ESTIMATED AVERAGE OF US$105 A TONNE IN 2018 TO US$74 A TONNE IN 2020 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
• The Newcastle benchmark spot price is forecast to decline from an estimated average of US$105 a tonne in 2018 to US$74 a tonne in 2020, prim ...
Monday, 07 January 19
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FALLS FOR FIFTH STRAIGHT MONTH IN JANUARY 2019; LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Monday, 07 January 19
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.9% TO 433.4 MLN TONNES IN 2018 - TASS
Coal production in Russia in 2018 increased by 5.9% year-on-year to 433.4 mln tonnes, according to the Central Dispatching Department of Fuel Energ ...
Friday, 04 January 19
FOCUS IS ON BOOSTING COAL PRODUCTION: INDIAN COAL MINISTER
The current focus of the government is on boosting production from operational coal mines, according to Minister for Coal, Piyush Goyal.
...
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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