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Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
 Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in combination with the deadly dam accident in Brazil earlier this year. The latter is a serious disruption that has already had an immediate negative impact on Capesize earnings. Brazil is the world’s second largest iron ore producer country after Australia, with approx. 70% of exports going to East Asia, and most iron ore consists of the highest quality found worldwide that does not require much processing. In addition, other production sites in Brazil are now in the public eye and currently under scrutiny when it comes down to their procedures, safety protocols and infrastructure and might not be able to increase production as desired. Hence, the imminent decrease of Brazil’s output will definitely reduce ton-mile revenue for Capes. The question now is if China is able to, and if they will respond with an increase of their domestic production from their high-cost mines, which will furthermore keep Cape revenues from rebounding to previous higher observed levels.
Besides the Capesize segment, the sudden drop and the swift reversal of sentiment was observed across all major trading routes and all ship sizes. This could be due to the turbulence deriving from the US-China trade war. While many reports/forecasts have been published and a lot of opinions have been heard, the only sure thing is that it adds uncertainty to the an already worrying global economy and a puzzled (amid coming regulations) shipping ecosystem. In the beginning, when the second worldwide largest economy showed signals of slowing down and seemed unable to maintain growth figures, analysts were pointing to the trade war. Recently though, many are wondering if a Chinese structural and fundamental problem will soon surface. In my point of view, if such problem does exist, the shipping world should focus on how the Chinese administration would tackle it. The country’s administration is currently signaling potential further stimulus measures and several are debating if such a program will have a positive impact on seaborne trade and to what degree.
The very slow fresh cargo supply of the past couple of months resulted in a slowdown of SnP activity, which is down 33% ytd. However, from the start of last week a more normal flow of cargo is observed and the BDI showed signs of recovering. At the same time, comparing past week’s SnP market to the start of this month we noted fresh prospective buyers coming on-board ships, while proven buyers took the opportunity to test sellers with levels depicting current market conditions and establishing new market levels.
Whilst some owners worry that we are entering a global bear market and are skeptical if this downturn was an indicator of a more structural issue, the BDI is now on a positive trend and others believe that we are heading towards more stable days having just experienced a short parenthesis in a market that is generally moving towards a healthy recovery and in that respect they maintain their bullish views and appetite for candidates offered at levels in line with current freight rates.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentimen ...
Saturday, 09 February 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000-TONNER WAS REPORTED FIXED DELIVERY FOR AN EAST KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $9,250 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The Vale disaster weighed heavily on the market for big ships, with uncertainty about shipments/future exports leading to a sharp drop in ...
Friday, 08 February 19
LOWER-QUALITY INDONESIA EXPORTS ROSE 39 MT IN 2018 YOY PRIMARILY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINA AND INDIA - PEABODY
"Underlying seaborne met and thermal coal conditions remain quite positive and the pace of U.S. coal-fueled power plant retirements is expecte ...
Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With ...
Wednesday, 06 February 19
FEBRUARY 2019 INDONESIA'S COAL REFERENCE PRICE FELL 8.83 PERCENT YOY
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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