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Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
 Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in combination with the deadly dam accident in Brazil earlier this year. The latter is a serious disruption that has already had an immediate negative impact on Capesize earnings. Brazil is the world’s second largest iron ore producer country after Australia, with approx. 70% of exports going to East Asia, and most iron ore consists of the highest quality found worldwide that does not require much processing. In addition, other production sites in Brazil are now in the public eye and currently under scrutiny when it comes down to their procedures, safety protocols and infrastructure and might not be able to increase production as desired. Hence, the imminent decrease of Brazil’s output will definitely reduce ton-mile revenue for Capes. The question now is if China is able to, and if they will respond with an increase of their domestic production from their high-cost mines, which will furthermore keep Cape revenues from rebounding to previous higher observed levels.
Besides the Capesize segment, the sudden drop and the swift reversal of sentiment was observed across all major trading routes and all ship sizes. This could be due to the turbulence deriving from the US-China trade war. While many reports/forecasts have been published and a lot of opinions have been heard, the only sure thing is that it adds uncertainty to the an already worrying global economy and a puzzled (amid coming regulations) shipping ecosystem. In the beginning, when the second worldwide largest economy showed signals of slowing down and seemed unable to maintain growth figures, analysts were pointing to the trade war. Recently though, many are wondering if a Chinese structural and fundamental problem will soon surface. In my point of view, if such problem does exist, the shipping world should focus on how the Chinese administration would tackle it. The country’s administration is currently signaling potential further stimulus measures and several are debating if such a program will have a positive impact on seaborne trade and to what degree.
The very slow fresh cargo supply of the past couple of months resulted in a slowdown of SnP activity, which is down 33% ytd. However, from the start of last week a more normal flow of cargo is observed and the BDI showed signs of recovering. At the same time, comparing past week’s SnP market to the start of this month we noted fresh prospective buyers coming on-board ships, while proven buyers took the opportunity to test sellers with levels depicting current market conditions and establishing new market levels.
Whilst some owners worry that we are entering a global bear market and are skeptical if this downturn was an indicator of a more structural issue, the BDI is now on a positive trend and others believe that we are heading towards more stable days having just experienced a short parenthesis in a market that is generally moving towards a healthy recovery and in that respect they maintain their bullish views and appetite for candidates offered at levels in line with current freight rates.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 19 February 19
FAST DEPLETING COAL RESERVES COULD PUSH UP ENERGY PRICES, CAUTIONS EXPERT - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The fast depletion of coal, a strategic resource and India’s fuel of choice currently, has huge implications for energy costs, according to K ...
Monday, 18 February 19
INDIA'S COAL IMPORT FALLS TO 17.25 MT IN JANUARY - PTI
Coal imports saw a decline in January FY 2019 to 17.25 MT from 19.59 MT in the same month of the previous fiscal, according to a report by mjunctio ...
Monday, 18 February 19
THE ROLE OF COAL IN INDIA'S ENERGY AMBITIONS - WCA
India is the world’s second most populous country and figures among the world’s most rapidly growing economies.
The Sout ...
Saturday, 16 February 19
COALTRANS CHINA 2019, CHINA'S LARGEST COAL INDUSTRY GATHERING
Press Release: Coaltrans China 2019 | With the import ban likely to be lifted, it’s time for you to meet your potentia ...
Wednesday, 13 February 19
MALAYSIA WAS THE REGION'S LARGEST COAL IMPORTER WITH 34 MT IN 2018, UP 25% Y-O-Y
Although coal market in 2018 started with strong prices, starting in the beginning of the second half of 2018, the international spot prices for co ...
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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