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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 05 December 18
WORLD COAL PRICES FALL, WITH INDONESIA BENCHMARK FOR DECEMBER, ENDING AT LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 05 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
Is the rise in crude carrier rates driven only by seasonality, or is the recent positive reversal signaling the end of challenging days for the mar ...
Monday, 03 December 18
WCA'S ENGAGEMENT AT COP24 IN KATOWICE - WCA
The 24th Conference of the Parties (COP) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) will take place from the 2-14 December 2018 in K ...
Monday, 03 December 18
SUPRAMAX: FIXED DELIVERY KALIMANTAN TO WEST COAST INDIA, AT $11000 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A roller-coaster week for the big ships with hopes soaring at the start for a mini last quarter revival, only to be dashed as the week ...
Sunday, 02 December 18
TRADE WAR LEADING TO HEADWINDS FOR THE FRAGILE DRY BULK RECOVERY - PETER SAND, BIMCO
The first twelve weeks of the 2018/19 marketing year, which started on 1 September 2018, have painted a dire picture for US soya bean exports which ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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