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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Tuesday, 11 December 18
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 10.849 MMT OF COAL IN NOVEMBER DOWN 23.44 PERCENT MOM
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading port and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped A$ 1,574.8 mil ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
IN THE EAST, BIGGER SUPRA WAS FIXED CA US$ 10K FOR INDO-CHINA COAL ROUND - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
There is cautious optimism for the Capes, with healthier volumes and improving rates in the Pacific. West Australia round is gradually ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
U.S. COAL CONSUMPTION IN 2018 EXPECTED TO BE THE LOWEST IN 39 YEARS - EIA
EIA expects total U.S. coal consumption in 2018 to fall to 691 million short tons (MMst), a 4% decline from 2017 and the lowest level since 1979. U ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings say ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
CHINA REVISES MANAGEMENT RULES ON ESTABLISHMENT OF FULLY FOREIGN-OWNED SHIPPING BUSINESSES - XINHUA
Foreign shipping companies will find it easier to establish wholly-owned subsidiaries in China thanks to a revised regulation due to take effect on ...
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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