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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Tuesday, 11 December 18
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 10.849 MMT OF COAL IN NOVEMBER DOWN 23.44 PERCENT MOM
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading port and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped A$ 1,574.8 mil ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
IN THE EAST, BIGGER SUPRA WAS FIXED CA US$ 10K FOR INDO-CHINA COAL ROUND - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
There is cautious optimism for the Capes, with healthier volumes and improving rates in the Pacific. West Australia round is gradually ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
U.S. COAL CONSUMPTION IN 2018 EXPECTED TO BE THE LOWEST IN 39 YEARS - EIA
EIA expects total U.S. coal consumption in 2018 to fall to 691 million short tons (MMst), a 4% decline from 2017 and the lowest level since 1979. U ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings say ...
Thursday, 06 December 18
CHINA REVISES MANAGEMENT RULES ON ESTABLISHMENT OF FULLY FOREIGN-OWNED SHIPPING BUSINESSES - XINHUA
Foreign shipping companies will find it easier to establish wholly-owned subsidiaries in China thanks to a revised regulation due to take effect on ...
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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