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Monday, 07 January 19
THE NEWCASTLE BENCHMARK SPOT PRICE IS FORECAST TO DECLINE FROM AN ESTIMATED AVERAGE OF US$105 A TONNE IN 2018 TO US$74 A TONNE IN 2020 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
 • The Newcastle benchmark spot price is forecast to decline from an estimated average of US$105 a tonne in 2018 to US$74 a tonne in 2020, primarily driven by declining import demand from China.
• Australia’s export volumes are forecast to grow from 203 million tonnes in 2017–18 to 209 million tonnes in 2019–20, reflecting productivity improvements and modest production growth from new capacity.
• Australia’s thermal coal export earnings are forecast to reach a new record of $26 billion in 2018–19, up from a record $23 billion in 2017–18, driven by strong prices. Export earnings are then forecast to decline to $20 billion in 2019–20, as the impact of lower prices more than offsets rising export volumes.
Prices have declined on weak import demand from China
The Newcastle benchmark spot price (6000 kcal/kg net as received) averaged an estimated US$100 a tonne in the December quarter of 2018, a 13 per cent decline from the previous quarter, but 6.9 per cent higher year-on-year. Prices steadily declined to below US$100 a tonne in November, almost a 6-month low, primarily as a result of falling import demand from China, due to stronger domestic production and softening power demand in the period between summer and winter, said Department of Industry, Innovation and Science, Australia in Thermal coal resources and Energy Quarterly December 2018
The report further noted that, Chinese imports are expected to fall sharply in November and December on the back of tightened restrictions on coal imports, with reports that these may be extended through to the Chinese New Year period for some power utilities. The gap in prices for high and low quality coals narrowed in the December quarter, as the Newcastle benchmark price fell more sharply than the prices for lower quality coals. Nevertheless, the price difference remains at high levels compared to the last five years. The gap has been driven by growing demand for higher quality coal due to air quality concerns, particularly in east Asia, and lower supply of higher quality coal.
Thermal coal prices are forecast to drift lower due to softer demand
Commenting on thermal coal price forecast, Australia's Department of Industrysaid, the Newcastle benchmark spot price is forecast to decline over the next two years, from an estimated average of US$105 a tonne in 2018 to US$86 a tonne in 2019 and US$74 a tonne in 2020.
The Japanese Fiscal Year (JFY, April to March) contract price is forecast to settle at US$89 a tonne in 2019–20 and US$77 a tonne in 2020–21.
Thermal coal resources and Energy Quarterly December 2018 also noted that, the forecast decline in prices is driven primarily by an expected slowdown in import demand from China over the next two years. Ongoing policy changes to reduce emissions and dependency on coal in other major economies are also expected to weigh on demand and thus prices. Nevertheless, a lack of substantial investment in new thermal coal capacity is expected to put a floor under prices, which are forecast to remain well above the lows of 2015 and 2016. Despite the recent strength in prices, a range of factors have contributed to a slowdown in investment in Australia and the rest of the world, including difficulties attracting finance and uncertainty regarding future policy developments around the world.
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Friday, 14 December 18
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 1,177,000 METRIC TONS OF COAL FOR Q1' 19 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 701,000 MT of min 5,600 kcal/kg NCV coal and ...
Friday, 14 December 18
COAL IMPORT TO BE CHECKED BY RISING DOMESTIC PRODUCTION - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
The government’s effort to increase domestic coal production and power demand falling with the onset of the winters will check coal imports, ...
Thursday, 13 December 18
STRAITS AFFECTED BY TERRITORIAL DISPUTE BETWEEN SINGAPORE AND MALAYSIA - THE STANDARD CLUB
A recent territorial dispute has occurred between Singapore and Malaysia involving the Straits of Johor.
The Malaysian Attorney Gene ...
Wednesday, 12 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
China’s monthly iron ore imports dropped for the first time this year joined by declines in copper and soybeans as economic growth slows in t ...
Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of& ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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