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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of scrubbers and the benefits of alternative fuel usage. Aside from all of these, there is another reading to this new regulation. New oil products (ultra-low sulphur fuel oil) as well as the much larger quantities of MGO that will be needed from the shipping industry will reshape trade patterns around the globe. The first effect could well be depicted in crude oil trade due to shifts in refinery utilization, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in Allied latest weekly research report.
Specifically, demand for light sweet crude oil will move upward as it will be required from the non-upgraded refineries, while it is possible to see a negative trend in the demand for heavy sour grades. The second part is the need for redistribution of the low-sulphur fuels, in order to properly cover the global bunkering markets.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, a side-effect to this could well be the requirement for floating storage for both clean (building of inventories), as well as dirty products (storage of the excess heavy fuel oil produced). Demand for HSFO is projected to recover in the long-term, as scrubber-equipped ships will continue using it. However, given that the IMO expects around 3,800 vessels to be fitted with scrubbers by 2020, it looks as though these vessels will remain a relatively small percentage of the global fleet. Many refineries have proceeded with their investment plans, adding capacity in order to produce more middle distillates, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting that an additional 7 million barrels per day will come into production by 2023.
However, Yiannis Vamvakas says, there are also several refineries that have not yet fully prepared for the IMO 2020 regulation, possible creating a shortfall of the required fuels in certain regions. All in all, the most modernized refineries with extensive vacuum resid processing capacity will benefit most from the new regulation, as they will be able to produce larger quantities of required fuels, gaining market share in the marine sector. Based on these facts, demand will increase in regions were the more modern refineries reside, modifying current trade routes. According to a Reuters survey, around 66% of 33 questioned refineries will continue produce HSFO in 2020, but 70% of these stated that they will reduce their output. A decline has already been reported in fuel oil inventories, depicting the fact that refineries have started to cut output in anticipation of the regulation. However, it’s worth mentioning that if output cuts prove to be bigger than the consumption fall, prices will see a significant upsurge. With regards to different geographical locations, most of the US refineries have been upgraded by the US shale boom, giving them a head start, but they are still dependent on heavy fuel imports, which is used for blending purposes. This means that further investments will be required for adding de-sulphurisation capacity.
In Europe, the report says, the coastal refineries are better prepared compared to their mainland peers, as their main oil source is crude from North and West Africa, regions with less sour oil. In Middle East and China, most of the refineries do not have the capacity of de-sulphurisation needed to produce the new low-sulphur fuels, making new investments necessary. In almost all cases a significant change is to take place in the shipping industry.
This change can be seen as a threat, an opportunity or as a combination of these two. The modification of crude oil/oil products trade flows should benefit owners and refineries that are flexible and adaptable enough for the new regulations, while it may be a significant threat for market participants that will choose to fall behind their competition Yiannis Vamvakas concluded in his latest report.
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Thursday, 09 May 19
OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN CONGRESS 2019
Offshore Caribbean Congress 2019
Event Date: 4-5th July. 2019t
Location: Georgetown, Guyana
Hess announced a new d ...
Tuesday, 07 May 19
UNDOUBTEDLY A VERY TROUBLED YEAR FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, SAYS ALLIED SHIPPING
Undoubtedly a very troubled year for the dry bulk market says Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis, Re ...
Saturday, 04 May 19
HOW THE 'FAIR VALUE' OF COAL ASSETS IS AFFECTED BY COMMODITY CYCLES - CRU
As with any commodity, valuing coal assets can be tricky due to the cyclical nature of the market. In this insight, CRU discusses how commodity cyc ...
Friday, 03 May 19
SUPRAMAX: WITH WIDESPREAD HOLIDAYS DURING THE WEEK, THE MARKET LACKED IMPETUS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market last week was a tale of two halves, with substantial volatility. Beginning the week on a positive note the C5 West Australi ...
Friday, 03 May 19
COAL INDIA APRIL OUTPUT RISES 1% TO 45.29 MILLION TONNE - PTI
Coal India Ltd (CIL) Wednesday said its coal production in April 2019 rose by 1 per cent to 45.29 million tonne as compared with 44.86 million tonn ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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