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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of scrubbers and the benefits of alternative fuel usage. Aside from all of these, there is another reading to this new regulation. New oil products (ultra-low sulphur fuel oil) as well as the much larger quantities of MGO that will be needed from the shipping industry will reshape trade patterns around the globe. The first effect could well be depicted in crude oil trade due to shifts in refinery utilization, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in Allied latest weekly research report.
Specifically, demand for light sweet crude oil will move upward as it will be required from the non-upgraded refineries, while it is possible to see a negative trend in the demand for heavy sour grades. The second part is the need for redistribution of the low-sulphur fuels, in order to properly cover the global bunkering markets.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, a side-effect to this could well be the requirement for floating storage for both clean (building of inventories), as well as dirty products (storage of the excess heavy fuel oil produced). Demand for HSFO is projected to recover in the long-term, as scrubber-equipped ships will continue using it. However, given that the IMO expects around 3,800 vessels to be fitted with scrubbers by 2020, it looks as though these vessels will remain a relatively small percentage of the global fleet. Many refineries have proceeded with their investment plans, adding capacity in order to produce more middle distillates, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting that an additional 7 million barrels per day will come into production by 2023.
However, Yiannis Vamvakas says, there are also several refineries that have not yet fully prepared for the IMO 2020 regulation, possible creating a shortfall of the required fuels in certain regions. All in all, the most modernized refineries with extensive vacuum resid processing capacity will benefit most from the new regulation, as they will be able to produce larger quantities of required fuels, gaining market share in the marine sector. Based on these facts, demand will increase in regions were the more modern refineries reside, modifying current trade routes. According to a Reuters survey, around 66% of 33 questioned refineries will continue produce HSFO in 2020, but 70% of these stated that they will reduce their output. A decline has already been reported in fuel oil inventories, depicting the fact that refineries have started to cut output in anticipation of the regulation. However, it’s worth mentioning that if output cuts prove to be bigger than the consumption fall, prices will see a significant upsurge. With regards to different geographical locations, most of the US refineries have been upgraded by the US shale boom, giving them a head start, but they are still dependent on heavy fuel imports, which is used for blending purposes. This means that further investments will be required for adding de-sulphurisation capacity.
In Europe, the report says, the coastal refineries are better prepared compared to their mainland peers, as their main oil source is crude from North and West Africa, regions with less sour oil. In Middle East and China, most of the refineries do not have the capacity of de-sulphurisation needed to produce the new low-sulphur fuels, making new investments necessary. In almost all cases a significant change is to take place in the shipping industry.
This change can be seen as a threat, an opportunity or as a combination of these two. The modification of crude oil/oil products trade flows should benefit owners and refineries that are flexible and adaptable enough for the new regulations, while it may be a significant threat for market participants that will choose to fall behind their competition Yiannis Vamvakas concluded in his latest report.
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Thursday, 16 May 19
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA COAL RV TRADING AROUND US$ 9,000 BSS S.CHINA DELIVERY - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
This volatile segment is trying to find a clear direction from the present US$ 12,000/day earnings for standard units says Fearnleys W ...
Wednesday, 15 May 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - THEODORE NTALAKOS
Modern warfare - Trade wars & sanctions
As of May 1st, the U.S. has ended waivers to the sanctions that had allowed the top buyers of Irani ...
Monday, 13 May 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE CONTINUES TO FALL
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Monday, 13 May 19
SUPRAMAX: SOUTHEAST ASIA THE MARKET SAW BETTER DEMAND - BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The market continued its rollercoaster ride last week opening with negative sentiment, but turning around in dramatic fashion by the week& ...
Thursday, 09 May 19
DEEP OFFSHORE SOUTHEAST ASIA CONGRESS 2019
Deep Offshore Southeast Asia Congress 2019
Event Date:2-3th July. 2019t
Location: Jakarta, Indonesia
Sarawak Shell Berhad (S ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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