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Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
 The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings says. Higher fuel costs and sulphur regulation will also put pressure on shippers. Partly offsetting an unfavourable environment are emerging signs of better capacity management by shipping companies, which is key to a sustainable balance and freight rates that support consistent profitability. We expect better fundamentals in container and dry bulk, while capacity growth will weigh on tankers. The key risk to shipping is an escalation of protectionist measures that would damage global trade and GDP growth.
Free global trade is vital for shipping development – about 80% of world trade in goods is carried by ships. More stringent fuel regulations regarding sulphur content could significantly increase operating costs and capex requirements in all shipping segments. This may negatively affect financials unless shippers pass these costs to customers. However, the product tanker market may benefit from these regulations as seaborne trade of low sulphur fuel is likely to increase as a result.
We expect healthy, albeit slower volume growth, in 2019 in container shipping. But supply and demand should be more balanced as fewer new vessels come onto the market. This should provide support to freight rates. Container shipping has become more consolidated with top five players accounting for 63% of the market in 2018 compared to only 31% in 2000, which is beginning to help with coordinated capacity deployment.
We expect freight rates in dry bulk to remain flat on average in 2019 based on balanced volumes and net fleet growth of about 3%. Any escalation of global trade conflicts, especially between the US and China, could affect cargo flows, especially for grains and minor bulk. However, we see the risk of a material reduction of overall demand and rates to be low. This is because commodity trade flows are likely to shift, rather than stop. For example, Chinese tariffs on US grain imports caused an increase in South American exports to China, while US soybeans have been directed to European and Middle Eastern markets.
Potential overcapacity weighs on the tanker sector. We forecast net tanker capacity to grow at about 3%, up from about 1.5% in 2018. The sector may face downside risks from oil demand and supply. US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts global oil consumption in 2019 to rise 1.4%, down slightly from a 1.5% increase in 2018. The impact of US sanctions on Iranian crude oil exports as well as OPEC’s decision on production volumes in December meeting are likely to affect oil supply and, as a result, demand for tankers
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Sunday, 07 October 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO-INDIA USUAL COAL RUNS WERE COVERED AT US$ 12K - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Average daily earnings up close to 15 pct in 5 trading days, thus patience finally paying off for owners of the big ships - Chinese play ...
Sunday, 07 October 18
A CASE FOR 20/20 VISION? IMO'S LOW SULPHUR FUEL LIMIT UNDER MARPOL ANNEX VI WHICH COMES INTO FORCE ON 1ST JANUARY 2020
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The implementation of the global 0.5% sulphur cap for bunker fuel under MARPOL Annex VI in just under 18 months’ ti ...
Friday, 05 October 18
COAL PRODUCTION REACHES 64% OF 2018 TARGET : THE JAKARTA POST
National coal production up to August has already reached 311 million tons, or 64 percent of this year's total target of 485 million tons, acco ...
Wednesday, 03 October 18
VALUE OF AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS TIPPED TO DECLINE SHARPLY OVER NEXT 18 MONTHS - THE GUARDIAN
Thermal coal prices forecast to drop 25% and metallurgical coal prices 23% as value of iron ore exports also falls
The value of Aust ...
Wednesday, 03 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
The bunker fuel supply and availability landscape is close to its transformation with the enforcement of the IMO’s global 0.5% fuel Sulphur c ...
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
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