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Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
 The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings says. Higher fuel costs and sulphur regulation will also put pressure on shippers. Partly offsetting an unfavourable environment are emerging signs of better capacity management by shipping companies, which is key to a sustainable balance and freight rates that support consistent profitability. We expect better fundamentals in container and dry bulk, while capacity growth will weigh on tankers. The key risk to shipping is an escalation of protectionist measures that would damage global trade and GDP growth.
Free global trade is vital for shipping development – about 80% of world trade in goods is carried by ships. More stringent fuel regulations regarding sulphur content could significantly increase operating costs and capex requirements in all shipping segments. This may negatively affect financials unless shippers pass these costs to customers. However, the product tanker market may benefit from these regulations as seaborne trade of low sulphur fuel is likely to increase as a result.
We expect healthy, albeit slower volume growth, in 2019 in container shipping. But supply and demand should be more balanced as fewer new vessels come onto the market. This should provide support to freight rates. Container shipping has become more consolidated with top five players accounting for 63% of the market in 2018 compared to only 31% in 2000, which is beginning to help with coordinated capacity deployment.
We expect freight rates in dry bulk to remain flat on average in 2019 based on balanced volumes and net fleet growth of about 3%. Any escalation of global trade conflicts, especially between the US and China, could affect cargo flows, especially for grains and minor bulk. However, we see the risk of a material reduction of overall demand and rates to be low. This is because commodity trade flows are likely to shift, rather than stop. For example, Chinese tariffs on US grain imports caused an increase in South American exports to China, while US soybeans have been directed to European and Middle Eastern markets.
Potential overcapacity weighs on the tanker sector. We forecast net tanker capacity to grow at about 3%, up from about 1.5% in 2018. The sector may face downside risks from oil demand and supply. US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts global oil consumption in 2019 to rise 1.4%, down slightly from a 1.5% increase in 2018. The impact of US sanctions on Iranian crude oil exports as well as OPEC’s decision on production volumes in December meeting are likely to affect oil supply and, as a result, demand for tankers
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Tuesday, 19 February 19
AUSTRALIA'S COAL FUTURE UNDER THREAT AS MORE CHANGES HIT FOSSIL FUELS GLOBALLY - ABC
Two disparate decisions from opposite corners of the world have sounded warnings for the future of Australia’s coal industry.
...
Tuesday, 19 February 19
FAST DEPLETING COAL RESERVES COULD PUSH UP ENERGY PRICES, CAUTIONS EXPERT - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The fast depletion of coal, a strategic resource and India’s fuel of choice currently, has huge implications for energy costs, according to K ...
Monday, 18 February 19
INDIA'S COAL IMPORT FALLS TO 17.25 MT IN JANUARY - PTI
Coal imports saw a decline in January FY 2019 to 17.25 MT from 19.59 MT in the same month of the previous fiscal, according to a report by mjunctio ...
Monday, 18 February 19
THE ROLE OF COAL IN INDIA'S ENERGY AMBITIONS - WCA
India is the world’s second most populous country and figures among the world’s most rapidly growing economies.
The Sout ...
Saturday, 16 February 19
COALTRANS CHINA 2019, CHINA'S LARGEST COAL INDUSTRY GATHERING
Press Release: Coaltrans China 2019 | With the import ban likely to be lifted, it’s time for you to meet your potentia ...
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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