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Thursday, 06 December 18
DEMAND RISKS WEIGH ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR OUTLOOK - FITCH RATINGS
 The global shipping sector outlook remains negative reflecting the demand-side risks of protectionism and slower economic growth, Fitch Ratings says. Higher fuel costs and sulphur regulation will also put pressure on shippers. Partly offsetting an unfavourable environment are emerging signs of better capacity management by shipping companies, which is key to a sustainable balance and freight rates that support consistent profitability. We expect better fundamentals in container and dry bulk, while capacity growth will weigh on tankers. The key risk to shipping is an escalation of protectionist measures that would damage global trade and GDP growth.
Free global trade is vital for shipping development – about 80% of world trade in goods is carried by ships. More stringent fuel regulations regarding sulphur content could significantly increase operating costs and capex requirements in all shipping segments. This may negatively affect financials unless shippers pass these costs to customers. However, the product tanker market may benefit from these regulations as seaborne trade of low sulphur fuel is likely to increase as a result.
We expect healthy, albeit slower volume growth, in 2019 in container shipping. But supply and demand should be more balanced as fewer new vessels come onto the market. This should provide support to freight rates. Container shipping has become more consolidated with top five players accounting for 63% of the market in 2018 compared to only 31% in 2000, which is beginning to help with coordinated capacity deployment.
We expect freight rates in dry bulk to remain flat on average in 2019 based on balanced volumes and net fleet growth of about 3%. Any escalation of global trade conflicts, especially between the US and China, could affect cargo flows, especially for grains and minor bulk. However, we see the risk of a material reduction of overall demand and rates to be low. This is because commodity trade flows are likely to shift, rather than stop. For example, Chinese tariffs on US grain imports caused an increase in South American exports to China, while US soybeans have been directed to European and Middle Eastern markets.
Potential overcapacity weighs on the tanker sector. We forecast net tanker capacity to grow at about 3%, up from about 1.5% in 2018. The sector may face downside risks from oil demand and supply. US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts global oil consumption in 2019 to rise 1.4%, down slightly from a 1.5% increase in 2018. The impact of US sanctions on Iranian crude oil exports as well as OPEC’s decision on production volumes in December meeting are likely to affect oil supply and, as a result, demand for tankers
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Monday, 08 April 19
CHEAP COAL SWELLS IN SOUTHEAST ASIA, FOILING GLOBAL GREEN PUSH - NIKKEI
Southeast Asian countries are turning to low-cost coal to satisfy their surging electricity demand as the West shies away from the fossil fuel unde ...
Monday, 08 April 19
SULPHUR 2020 - COUNTDOWN TO THE SWITCHOVER - LLOYD'S REGISTER
Sulphur 2020 (MARPOL Annex VI Reg. 14.1.3) is still dominating headlines and as we draw closer to the 1 January 2020 deadline it’s clear that ...
Monday, 08 April 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PRICE PLUMMETS TO LOW NOT SEEN SINCE AUGUST 2017
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
SHIP PASSAGE PLANS - NO ROOM FOR ERROR! - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The English High Court’s judgment in Alize 1954 v Allianz Elementar Versicherungs AG (The CMA CGM Libra) is an impo ...
Sunday, 07 April 19
IMO 2020: READY OR NOT? - WOOD MACKENZIE
New Year’s Day 2020 is firmly marked in the calendar as the refining and shipping industries prepare for change.
The International Marit ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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