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Tuesday, 27 November 18
PANAMAX AND SUPRAMAX INDICES WITNESSED A DECLINE OF JUST BELOW 14% IN THEIR MEAN ON A MONTH-ON-MONTH COMPARISON - ALLIED SHIPPING
 A month of sharp corrections and great asymmetries for the dry bulk sector, with the overall overview of the market shipping rapidly from a state of extreme bullishness to bearish in no time at all. Not long-ago, statements like robust sentiment, modest order-book, sustainable fleet development, robust global economic growth and seaborne trade were some of the favorites topics discussed by most optimists in the market, said Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied shipping in his latest report.
But now, given that the scene has changed completely, and the upward momentum has faded away, what can we expect from the blurry picture presented in front of us?
According to Thomas Chasapis, at the beginning of September, a mere breath before the start of the final quarter of 2018, the exuberance was become apparent in the paper market, given that contracts reached levels of even above US$ 26,000/day for the average of the BCI-5TC for 4th quarter period. At that time, and given that the previous year, for the same time frame, the actual market managed an average figure in the region of US$ 22,700/day and the market was already on an upward path throughout 2018, the level being discussed seemed rather fair to most.
He further noted that, things were already turning sour however in October, with earnings averaging out at US$ 18,600/day and it quickly becoming obvious that the Capesize segment wasn’t going to carry out its promise as originally thought. But things didn’t stop there, and from the start of this month the overall segment was on a sharp downward spiral, reaching even at levels that brought back memories of the collapse in the dry bulk sector of 2016. So, to the very least we can say that the market is in a “weird” state. The FFA market is now in a state of turmoil, showing steep corrections in respect to forward returns, even for very forward contracts. On a month-on-month basis, volatility for Capes has skyrocketed by almost 184% (using the BCI benchmark index), breaking a long period of convergence towards a more stable state.
Yet what must be stated is that it would be prudent not to rush back into an overly bearish tone, on the back of just recent trends in the dry bulk freight market. It is important to mention that other segments haven’t shows this kind of softening in their average figures. Both the Panamax and Supramax indices witnessed a decline of just below 14% in their mean on a month-on-month comparison. So, given the influential attribute of the Capesize to the overall sector, the impressive resistance seen in the smaller sub-segments can be translated in two different ways, either that there are strong fundamentals able to bear periodical negative shifts (i.e. minor bulk commodities are holding better), or we are speaking of an isolated and over exaggerated incident and the market will recover back to normality fairly quickly. For the time being the market is once again covered in shrouds of uncertainty, with most interested parties having already altered towards a more conservative attitude.
All-in-all, given that we are in a strong seasonal point in the year, we would expect that a swift recovery could take place, with the overall market, although, most probably finishing the year at mediocre levels given the extent of the downturn noticed these past weeks, Research Analyst of Allied shipping concluded.
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Friday, 11 January 19
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA HAD A MIXED START; LIMITED ACTION IN SOUTHEAST ASIA - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Dashed hopes summed up the first full week of the New Year. A slow start followed by a busy 24 hours of improving rates and a firming ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
BUNKER DELIVERY NOTE AMENDMENTS ENTER INTO FORCE AS SULPHUR 2020 REQUIREMENT LOOMS - IMO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Amendments to the bunker delivery note relating to the supply of marine fuel oil to ships which have fitted alternative m ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
WORLD TRADE IN THERMAL COAL IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE GROWN BY 1.0 PER CENT IN 2018 - DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA
World Trade
World trade in thermal coal is estimated to have grown by 1.0 per cent to 1.1 billion tonnes in 2018 but it is expected to decline ...
Thursday, 10 January 19
PAKISTAN'S COAL IMPORTS TO SURGE TO 30 MILLION TONS PER ANNUM BY 2020 - CEO, PIB
Pakistan’s coal imports are estimated to surge to 30 million tons/annum from existing 20 million tons/annum by the year 2020, given the plann ...
Wednesday, 09 January 19
PANAMAX: THE PACIFIC SAW RELATIVELY GOOD DEMAND PARTICULARLY FROM INDONESIA AND NOPAC - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
It was an active start to the New Year, with trading from West Australia maintaining momentum during the holiday period. Rates for Chi ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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