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Tuesday, 20 November 18
FREIGHT RATES IN THE CRUDE OIL MARKET HAVE ALREADY PICKED UP OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS - YIANNIS VAMVAKAS
 Current geopolitical developments between Iran and the US, which have led the latter to re-impose its sanctions, have significantly affected oil prices over the past couple of months. With Iranian oil out of the picture for many of the main importers, Saudi Arabia and the rest of the OPEC countries have already started to gradually increase their output to cover the demand gap, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping.
However, he further noted that, these plans were disrupted by a footnote in these most recent sanctions, which stated that several countries (including China, India and Japan) are allowed to continue importing oil from Teheran for a limited time period, but without any specified limitation in the imported volume. It is worth mentioning that China is the biggest importer of Iranian oil. This would essentially leave Iranian production levels to approximately 1.1 million bpd in November and to even higher figures in December. In addition to this, competition from other countries has intensified. Russia has raised its output during the previous months (11.41 million bpd in October), and with further growth being planned for 2019. At the same time, US production is expected to reach to 10.7 million bpd by the end of the year and is set to increase by another 250,000 bpd in 2019. As a result, Brent oil prices, which had reached a four-year high of $86 a barrel in October based on tight supply concerns, have slid back down to $67 now, losing around 21% within a month.
Allied weekly research report further said, with a supply glut on the horizon, Saudi Arabia is now considering proceeding, together with the rest of OPEC members, to an output cut of about 1.4 million bpd, even though Washington asserts that the provision of waivers is a temporary measure. Another interesting aspect of the Iranian sanctions is the possible decision by Teheran to maintain production numbers at high levels, even after the waiver program expires, and use some of the domestic VLCC fleet as floating storage. With a considerable portion of the Iranian tanker fleet out of the picture, market participants can expect a positive impact on the demand for the rest of global tanker fleet despite reports that there are already around 14 inactive Iranian VLCCs.
Moreover, Yiannis Vamvakas said, it is worth mentioning that the average haul should increase, adding further support for freight rates. China will turn its focus to other oil sources with West Africa and Brazil being most likely candidates, increasing the average ton-mile demand significantly. Other Far Eastern countries that are currently under the US waiver program will also change their import business partners with the US being an additional option. However, here we should mention that despite the continuing dredging that takes place in the US Gulf ports, fully loaded VLCCs are still unable to call the majority of ports there.
Freight rates in the crude oil market have already picked up over the past couple of weeks, with the Iranian sanctions being an important factor. Beyond this however, with the northern hemisphere enter into its winter period, the seasonal increases in oil demand that typically take place have also played a significant role in this most recent rally. The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) announced in their latest monthly report that its forecast for global demand growth for 2018 and 2019 have remained unchanged from last month. With some volatility being anticipated due to uncertainty in the oil market, market participants are expecting the positive sentiment to continue for the rest of 2018, as well as the first quarter of 2019. However, with the rate of deliveries expected to be seen within 2019 this current upward momentum trend may well end up being curbed significantly in the long run.
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Friday, 14 December 18
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,300 kcal/kg NCV coal per ...
Friday, 14 December 18
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 1,177,000 METRIC TONS OF COAL FOR Q1' 19 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 701,000 MT of min 5,600 kcal/kg NCV coal and ...
Friday, 14 December 18
COAL IMPORT TO BE CHECKED BY RISING DOMESTIC PRODUCTION - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
The government’s effort to increase domestic coal production and power demand falling with the onset of the winters will check coal imports, ...
Thursday, 13 December 18
STRAITS AFFECTED BY TERRITORIAL DISPUTE BETWEEN SINGAPORE AND MALAYSIA - THE STANDARD CLUB
A recent territorial dispute has occurred between Singapore and Malaysia involving the Straits of Johor.
The Malaysian Attorney Gene ...
Wednesday, 12 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
China’s monthly iron ore imports dropped for the first time this year joined by declines in copper and soybeans as economic growth slows in t ...
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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