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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
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Thursday, 05 April 18
INDONESIA TO POSTPONE NEW COAL, PALM OIL SHIPPING RULES TO 2020 - REUTERS
Indonesia will delay until 2020 trade rules requiring exporters of coal and crude palm oil to use only Indonesian-flagged vessels, government offic ...
Tuesday, 03 April 18
MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
In the midst of a relatively quiet week for markets, with disruptions being caused by the Christian holidays, it seems as though we find ourselves ...
Monday, 02 April 18
THE FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO SOFT, SAYS VISTAAR
The freight market softening to continue. Thursday, March 29, 2018, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 42 points, reaching 1080 points.
T ...
Monday, 02 April 18
THIESS TO DELIVER $150M SENAKIN CONTRACT EXTENSION
Thiess has secured a $150 million contract extension to provide mine services at Arutmin’s Senakin coal mine in South Kalimantan, Indonesia.
...
Monday, 02 April 18
THIESS SECURES $240M SATUI EXTENSION
The successful implementation of an innovative mining plan by Thiess at the Satui coal mine in South Kalimantan, has resulted in a $240 million con ...
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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