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Wednesday, 29 August 18
MID-YEAR FY19 POWER OUTLOOK: IMPORTED COAL REQUIREMENT TO INCREASE DURING REMAINING FY19: IND-RA
 India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable-to-negative outlook on the Indian power sector for the remaining FY19, despite a rise in electricity demand and an increase in short-term prices.
According to a post published on Ind-Ra's website, the stable-to-negative outlook continues to reflect Ind-Ra’s expectation of a continued low plant load factor of 60.0%-62.0% of coal-based thermal power plants over the rest of FY19, because of large capacity additions in the past five years and domestic coal availability challenges. Ind-Ra expects India’s dependence on thermal power generation to remain high in the absence of any substantial improvement in power generation from other sources.
The agency has maintained a Stable Outlook on most of its rated power sector entities for the rest of FY19, as the agency expects the entities to continue to manage fuel and counterparty risks on account of a favourable tariff mechanism, a comfortable liquidity position and support from central and state governments.
Ind-Ra expects the dependence on coal-based power generation to continue despite a likely increase in capacity addition in the renewable segment, as capacity addition is low on an equivalent thermal basis owing to the low plant load factor in the renewable segment.
Given Ind-Ra’s expectation of healthy power demand growth in the rest of FY19 and thermal power capacity contributing to the required growth, coal availability becomes a key determinant for required power demand growth. Considering the historical growth rate of domestic non-coking coal production and offtake, Ind-Ra estimates imported coal requirement to increase to 62.0 million tonnes in FY19 from 56.0 million tonnes in FY18 to meet incremental power generation. Hence, there could be higher imported coal usage in FY19 than that in FY16-FY18, when imported coal usage declined. According to Ind-Ra, in a scenario of lower-than-required growth in domestic coal output, short-term power prices would remain firm and are likely to be determined by the marginal cost of energy production undertaken using imported coal.
Ind-Ra estimates project internal rate of returns to decline to a single-digit level in view of the recent aggressive bidding for wind power projects. Ind-Ra believes a high un-hedged forex exposure from the depreciating Indian rupee further lowers projects’ internal rate of returns. Moreover, access to the banking system may tighten, in case bidding continues to remain aggressive.
Solicitation Disclosures
Ratings are not a recommendation or suggestion, directly or indirectly, to you or any other person, to buy, sell, make or hold any investment, loan or security or to undertake any investment strategy with respect to any investment, loan or security or any issuer. Please also refer Ind-Ra’s Disclaimer
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Friday, 18 May 18
INDONESIA'S SAMARINDA ANCHORAGE COAL LOADING ACTIVITIES WERE RESUMED YESTERDAY AT 4PM LOCAL TIME
Samarinda Anchorage coal loading activities were resumed yesterday at 4PM local time.
Local fishermen in Samarinda Anchorage have been demonst ...
Wednesday, 16 May 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Half-way through the second quarter of the year and as the Posidonia week approaches everyone is getting ready for this unique gathering that besid ...
Thursday, 10 May 18
PRIVATE POWER PRODUCERS NEED A 'POWERFUL PUSH' - PRADEEP MITTAL
- PLF of the Private Sector in the country (Coal and Lignite based) for FY 2017-18 (till Dec 2017) is 56%.
- 51 GW of stressed assets (Thermal &a ...
Tuesday, 08 May 18
BUMA SIGNED OVER US$1 BILLION WORTH OF NEW CONTRACT WITH PT INDONESIA PRATAMA
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, has entered into mining services contracts with PT Indones ...
Monday, 07 May 18
BENCHMARK PRICE OF INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL DROPPED BACK BELOW $90 A TON THIS MONTH
COALspot.com: According to latest ministerial decree No. 1812 K/30/MEM/2018 dated 3 May 2018, the Indonesian Coal Price Reference (HBA) decline 5.5 ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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