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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Saturday, 11 September 21
CIL STEPS UP SUPPLY COAL TO POWER SECTOR; PER-DAY AVERAGE 20 PC HIGHER THAN LAST YEAR - PTI
State-owned CIL on Friday said it has stepped up the supply of coal to the power sector in the first eight days of the current month, with an avera ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
RECORD CHINESE COAL FUTURES SIGNAL NEED TO BOOST OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s coal prices have climbed to a record high, signaling the need for more production in the short term, even as the government tries to ...
Saturday, 11 September 21
IN 2022, EIA EXPECTS U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TO INCREASE BY 47 MMST TO 648 MMST
U.S. Coal production accordng to EIA's forecast, totals 601 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 66 MMst more than in 2020, EIA's Short-Term ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
FITCH RATINGS RAISES THERMAL COAL PRICE ASSUMPTIONS ON TIGHT SUPPLY
Fitch Ratings has increased all its Qinhuangdao 5,500kcal/kg price assumptions and short- and medium-term Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg price assumptions ...
Wednesday, 08 September 21
COAL IS STILL KING; INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE ABOVE $150 FOR FIRST TIME IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Coal Price Reference rose dramatically from US$ 127.05 in February 2011, to a peak of US$ 150.03 in September 2021, be ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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