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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
OIL PRICES: "IT'S GOING TO BE VERY EASY" TO GET TO $100/BARREL, ANALYST SAYS - YAHOO FINANCE
Energy and oil prices have been on fire over the last six months — and expect them to go higher, says one analyst.
“For ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Iron ore prices have jumped significantly in the week prior to the Chinese New Year with traders and producers stocking up on raw materials. China& ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
FEBRUARY HBA HITS RECORD HIGH IN 2022 ON INDONESIA’S EXPORT BAN IN JANUARY, WORSEN SUPPLY, UKRAINE TENSIONS
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for February in a steep climb from January 2022.
As expected in January the Indonesia ...
Wednesday, 09 February 22
CHINESE COAL MARKS BEST DAY IN 4 MONTHS ON TIGHT SUPPLY, HIGH DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s coal futures on Tuesday recorded their best session since Bejing’s mid-October intervention to cool runaway prices, aided by co ...
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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