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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Thursday, 17 February 22
MAJOR INSTITUTIONS PROVIDED OVER $1.5 TRLN TO COAL SECTOR IN 2019-2021, SAYS NGO GROUP - REUTERS
Financial institutions channelled more than $1.5 trillion into the coal industry in loans and underwriting from January 2019 to November 2021, even ...
Thursday, 17 February 22
APAC THERMAL COAL PRICES TO EASE ON END OF INDONESIA EXPORT BAN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings-Shanghai/Singapore-14 February 2022: APAC thermal coal prices are likely to come under pressure in the near term due to seasonally we ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
IS ANOTHER COAL SHORTAGE CRISIS LOOMING OVER INDIA? - BUSINESS STANDARD
In December last year, the Federation of Indian Mineral Industries (FIMI) shot off a letter to the Prime Minister claiming that the coal crisis was ...
Tuesday, 15 February 22
THERMAL COAL'S RECORD PRICE RUN MAY END UP ITS OWN WORST ENEMY - REUTERS
The price of benchmark Australian thermal coal rose last week to trade near record highs, providing a short-term boost to producers but increasing ...
Thursday, 10 February 22
INDONESIA: COAL EXPORT BAN - SKULD
Indonesia's coal export ban in the light of force majeure and off-hire clauses
In January 2022, Indonesia, the world's biggest exporte ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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