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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of sell offs in the technology sector.
According to George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, at the face of it, it may well sound as if this is something restricted to an industry which is disconnected in its most part from the shipping industry. However, in part these tremors being noted in the form of price drops in equities are tied in part to the overall friction being seen in global trade. It has been just over two weeks since US President Donald Trump announced import tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the geopolitical aftershocks are still being felt. The period just after the announcement seems to be mainly characterized by a number of countries, including but not limited to Australia, the European Union and Japan, pushing to win exemptions from these newly announced tariffs. Yet, things seem to be taking a darker tone now, with a number of these countries now vowing to act through reprisal levies and tariffs on US imports.
George Lazaridis further noted that, as an overall read-through, the main note that most of us in shipping have taken is that these current tariffs have a limited direct effect on shipping markets. China, which is the leading producer of both these commodities has a minute share in the overall imports entering the US, despite the fact that the US President has focused on China in his usual populist rhetoric with regards to trade. China’s exports of steel and aluminum to the US amount to only just 0.03% of its GDP, while it only makes up around 4% of total steel imports into the US. The biggest threat has been to the US market’s main suppliers, which are the European Union, Canada, S. Korea, Mexico, Brazil and Japan, with Canada and Mexico having for the moment escaped the current levies as part of the ongoing negotiations with regards to the NAFTA trade agreement.
George Lazaridis Allied noted that, the majority of the rest seem to be taking the option of retaliatory levies quite seriously, while despite China being relatively unaffected for the time being, they have also joined in the general discussion proactively, possibly taking this opportunity to proclaim themselves as defenders of free trade.
The risk of a wider trade war sparking off does lay in the realm of possibility right now, yet even if things were to escalate to such a level, the negative effects on shipping would most likely come in the form of gradual waves. Under such a scenario we would likely see most retaliatory tariffs and levies being placed on finished final goods, possibly causing a disturbance on the containership market first and limited to mainly this sector in the initial phase. It would take a while before we would see a gradual slump emerge on the demand for raw materials, as the overall slump in global demand for finished products would slowly push purchasing managers to cut back their requirements.
This all sounds like a dire scenario indeed and most would be in angst as to the actual probability of such a series of events pulling through, especially given that we have only just started to see a favourable environment emerge in terms of global trade. The general thought and hope for the time being is that to some degree the US President will back down having been brought to his senses in a similar fashion to how back in the early 2000’s George W Bush eventually backed down on his protectionist steel-tariff plan. Lets hope things aren’t taken too far too quickly and we miss the point of no return.
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Friday, 06 November 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 05 November 20
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE RISES FOR SECOND CONSECUTIVE MONTH
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Price Reference rose for a 2nd month by 9.24% month on month. The Indonesia Coal Price Reference for the month of ...
Wednesday, 04 November 20
PHILIPPINES COAL MORATORIUM HIGHLIGHTS DRAMATIC PIVOT TO RENEWABLE ENERGY INVESTMENT FOR LOWER PRICES AND POWER SYSTEM RESILIENCE - IEEFA
Policymakers and industry leaders ready to embrace new energy technologies
The Department of Energy’s call for a moratorium on ...
Wednesday, 04 November 20
FOREIGN INVESTORS FACE TOUGH TIMES CLOSING VIETNAM’S REMAINING COAL POWER DEALS - IEEFA
Project bankability at risk as new regulations threaten usual contractual terms
Foreign investors will face higher-than-usual risks ...
Wednesday, 04 November 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the end of the year approaches, one would definitely notice that the newbuilding orderbook for bulk carriers is significantly smaller compared t ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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