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Wednesday, 07 February 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 Crude oil supply has been reported to have grown by approx. 2.5% reaching 40.1m bpd in 2017. However, tanker charter rates have been under pressure and have significantly been declining since Q3 of 2017 as a result of demand-supply imbalance. Lately, Brent crude oil has hit a 3-year high evidence that OPEC’s policy for supply cuts is supporting prices. Forecasts for 2018 indicate elevated oil demand that might lead to healthier tanker rates, subject to a number of other factors as well.
IEA forecasts global crude oil demand to rise by 1.3% mainly on the back of increased imports by China and India. China’s crude oil imports increased by 800,000 bpd in 2017, representing 50% of the global oil demand growth. China’s domestic oil demand continues to grow, while inland output is respectively descending. IEA projects China’s oil import dependence to rise to 80% by 2040. Additionally, India’s crude oil demand is increasing rapidly, with the country’s import dependence reaching 82% last year. India’s imports from OPEC’s countries declined during 2017, while total imports from non OPEC producers such as US, Canada, Russia and Kazakhstan significantly increased. BP projects the country’s energy demand to rise faster than any other major economy between now and 2035. India’s oil consumption averaged 4.6 million bpd in 2017 and it is projected that the country’s crude oil demand will increase 4.3% in 2018.
It is reported that OPEC will maintain output cuts, while demand continues to grow in 2018. Non-OPEC production is estimated to grow by 1.3 million bpd, with most of it sourced from the US, paving the way for significant ton-mile demand gains, as the USG to Asia represents one of the longest hauls possible. US exports have already started to increase, a trend which is probable bound to continue as OPEC sticks to current production levels. Asian refineries have already increased their oil orders from the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Concurrently, the trouble in Venezuela could discourage ton-mile growth as Europe and Asia are important consumers of Venezuelan crude and exports to these regions represent one of the longest hauls. Therefore, as US exports continue to grow, much of this benefit may be offset by declining long haul routes out of Venezuela.
When prices trended lower in past years, inventories built up and demand for storage spiked. Respectively, such demand diminished as inventories reached peak levels and storage became rarer. Nowadays, we are in the downward phase of this cycle almost after 5 years, as inventories are being utilized. Once inventory capacities return to more manageable levels, in line with historical averages, this would allow trade flows to stabilize, which could be a sort of tailwind for the crude tanker market once it all plays out. Of course the tanker deliveries that are schedule for this year, estimated at around 10.7 million dwt, as far as crude carriers are concerned, will most probably offset part of this expected upside.
A healthier crude market is expected in 2018, with analysts anticipating most of the upside to take place closer to the end of the year. As discussed, various supply-demand essentials may disturb the trade patterns and as always numerous of currently unknown risks could also present themselves during the year. Undoubtedly it looks like all of these trends will require close monitoring in the year ahead.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 13 December 17
DEMAND FOR THERMAL COAL LOOKED RELATIVELY ROBUST - DANIEL HYNES
Coal prices were a touch higher. Demand for thermal coal looked relatively robust, after reports continued to surface that Chinese authorities have ...
Wednesday, 13 December 17
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE PANAGOPOULOS
As another year is coming to an end and much has been already written about the positive reversal in the dry bulk market, we think it is interestin ...
Monday, 11 December 17
INDIA CONSUMERS ARE SAID TO BE DESPERATELY SEEKING CARGOES - DANIEL HYNES
Coal markets were stronger, as strong demand outside China continues to spur buying said Daniel Hynes, Senior Commodity Strategist at ANZ.
Acc ...
Monday, 11 December 17
CAPESIZE FFA MARKET LOOKING PROMISING MOVING FORWARD - FIS
Capesize
Another very promising day for the big ships as rates continued to firm in both oceans and the paper market ate into the backwardation s ...
Friday, 08 December 17
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 11.6 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK, EIA DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
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Showing 1851 to 1855 news of total 6871 |
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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