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Tuesday, 05 December 17
OIL PRICES HAVE GAINED SOME TRACTION THESE PAST FEW DAYS ON TALKS OF ANOTHER OPEC & RUSSIA PRODUCTION CUT EXTENSION - GERRY LATHROP
 Oil prices have gained some traction these past few days on talks of another OPEC (including non-OPEC Russia) production cut extension.
The current production cut schedule prior to OPECs meeting this past week, was supposed to last until March 2018, however it has come to light that it will now be extended until the end of 2018, in an attempt to prop up prices as many of OPEC’s members continue to feel strain from the low earnings generated by crude oil sales said Gerry Lathrop, Research Analyst at Allied shipping.
Gerry Lathrop further noted, what’s more is that Saudi Arabia, OPEC leading member, has to deal with ARAMCO’s planned IPO in 2018, which could greatly benefit from the higher crude oil prices. At the same time and in order for the Saudi Government to meet their government budget requirements and reduce their reliance on their cash reserves, are looking at a price target of around US$ 60 per barrel. This is contrary to Russia’s stance who would prefer oil prices to remain lower, and apparently would prefer a target of US$ 40 per barrel at the off chance that higher prices cause the US’s shale oil producers to head to the fields again. In addition to this, OPEC members Libya and Nigeria, who were previously exempt from production cuts, have now agreed to also cap production at their 2017 levels.
This of course can have a profound effect on the shipping side, where the mere talks of a production cut has oil traders rushing to their desks to close their next deal. In short, if oil prices start to show a trend of further price gains, oil traders and refiners will rush to book cargoes, so they can price their end products on competitive level and possibly benefit from a better profit margin, increasing demand in the crude market in the very short-term. In the long-term, if the price of oil also goes up, it is likely to dampen overall demand and cause a potential slowdown in trade. This negative effect however tends to be limited given that crude oil has fairly inelastic demand.
According to Gerry Lathrop of Allied, on the non-OPEC side of things, crude oil production in the US has hit a new record production level of 9.7 million barrels per day on average for the week ending November 17th, according to statistics from the US EIA. Similarly, crude oil imports from Venezuela to the Louisiana Offshore Oil Platform (LOOP) for the period of January to November 2017 are around 7 million barrels, which is almost 3 times as much as what we were seeing during the same time frame last year (2.5 million bbls). The main reason for importing so much Venezuelan crude seems to be mainly due to the lack of availability of Saudi Arabian heavy/sour crude resulting from their production cuts. According to US customs data, imports from Saudi are down 45% from 75 million barrels to 42 million barrels for the same 10-month period. This has undoubtedly caused much of the softening in the crude tanker market of late by removing many ton miles from the market.
In any case, it will be interesting to see which direction the market will trend come June of next year, as the tug of war continues between Russia’s stance on lower crude prices and Saudi’s preference for higher prices. We will probably see the price fall somewhere in between these respective price targets during most of 2018, while if prices increases above Saudi’s US$ 60 per barrel, a relatively swift ramp up in US shale oil production should help quickly push things back down. This points to the main risk by both OPEC and Russia, with any further cost efficiencies achieved by US shale producers allowing them to capture a higher market share and even make these production cuts irrelevant to the overall market.
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Tuesday, 13 February 24
WHAT IS THE OUTLOOK FOR THE NATURAL GAS SPOT PRICE IN 2024 AND 2025? EIA
We expect the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub natural gas spot price to average higher in 2024 and 2025 than in 2023, but to remain lower than $3.00 per m ...
Monday, 12 February 24
US THERMAL COAL EXPORTS HIT 5-YEAR HIGHS AND TOP $5 BLN IN 2023 - REUTERS
United States exporters of thermal coal earned more than $5 billion in 2023 as they shipped out more than 32.5 million metric tons of the high-poll ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
NEW E-FUELS PROJECT TO MAKE INTERNATIONAL SHIPPING CLIMATE-NEUTRAL - RINA
Transport and trade on the ocean blue must be made much greener. This is the goal of the new €17 million European GAMMA project, where compani ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA SEES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT UP 10.9% IN 2024/25 - REUTERS
India expects domestic coal output to increase by 10.9% to 1.13 billion metric tons in the fiscal year ending March 2025, a senior government offic ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 10.3% TO 99.73 MILLION TONNE IN JANUARY - PTI
The country’s coal output rose 10.3 per cent to 99.73 Million Tonne (MT) in January, over the same month in the previous fiscal.
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Showing 36 to 40 news of total 6871 |
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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