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Thursday, 13 April 17
OPEC OVER-DELIVERS ON OIL CUTS, BUT SEES RIVALS' OUTPUT RISING
Crude Oil Price Movements
The OPEC Reference Basket averaged $50.32/b in March, representing a decline of 5.7% from the previous month. Crude futures also declined on concerns about growing oil output and high crude inventories in the US. ICE Brent ended 6.2% lower at $52.54/b, while NYMEX WTI decreased 7.1% to $49.67/b. The BrentWTI spread widened to $2.86/b, supporting US crude oil exports. Hedge funds liquidated their large net long positions in crude, contributing to the sharp drop in oil prices.
World Economy
The momentum in global economic growth has been improving resulting in an upward revision in the 2017 forecast to now stand at 3.3% from 3.2% previously, while growth for 2016 remains at 3.0%. OECD growth in 2017 remains at 1.9%, with the US and Euro-zone seeing no revisions. Japan’s 2017 growth forecast was revised up to 1.2% from 1.1% previously. China’s 2017 growth was also revised higher to 6.3% from 6.2%, while India’s forecast remains at 7.0%. Russia’s 2017 growth was revised up to 1.2% from 1.0%, while the forecast for Brazil is unchanged at 0.5%.
World Oil Demand
World oil demand growth in 2016 was kept broadly unchanged at 1.38 mb/d, averaging 95.05 mb/d. For 2017, oil demand growth is anticipated to be around 1.27 mb/d, following an upward revision of 10 mb/d to average 96.32 mb/d. The ‘Other Asia’ group – which includes India – is anticipated to lead oil demand growth in 2017, followed by China and OECD Americas. OECD Asia-Pacific is the only region anticipated to see a decline in oil demand in 2017.
World Oil Supply
Non-OPEC oil supply is estimated to have averaged 57.32 mb/d in 2016, representing a contraction of 0.69 mb/d y-o-y following a minor downward revision of 30 tb/d. In 2017, non-OPEC oil supply is projected to grow by 0.58 mb/d, following an upward revision of 176 tb/d due to higher than expected growth in the US and lesser contractions in Colombia and China, to average 57.89 mb/d. The US supply growth forecast was revised up by 0.20 mb/d to stand at 0.54 mb/d. OPEC NGLs and non-conventional oil production is forecast to grow by 0.13 mb/d in 2017, following growth of 0.14 mb/d in 2016. In March, OPEC production decreased by 153 tb/d, according to secondary sources, to average 31.93 mb/d. Product Markets and
Refining Operations
Product markets exhibited a mixed performance in the Atlantic Basin, as the lack of export opportunities for gasoline amid increasing inflows of middle distillates impacted the European market. Meanwhile, stronger domestic gasoline demand in the US ahead of the transition to summer grades lent strong support to refinery margins. In Asia, the lack of arbitrage amid increasing inflows into the region weighed on the market despite the onset of the spring refinery maintenance season.
Tanker Market
The tanker market showed a mixed pattern in March. VLCCs exhibiting an average decline of 23% m-o-m in spot rates on its various trading routes, as the tonnage availability remained abundant. In contrast, Suezmax and Aframax rates increased m-o-m by 13%, and 6%, respectively, mainly due to transit delays in the Turkish Straits, discharge delays in the east, and occasional tightening in tonnage supply. The market experienced higher monthly freight rates for clean tankers on most reported routes.
Stock Movements
Total OECD commercial oil stocks fell in February to 2,987 mb to now stand 268 mb above the latest five years average. Crude and product stocks indicated a surplus of around 227 mb and 41 mb, respectively. In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks stood at 64.2 days, some 4.6 days higher than the latest five-year average Balance of Supply and Demand
Demand for OPEC crude in 2016 now stands at 31.7 mb/d, which is 1.9 mb/d higher than the 2015 level. In 2017, demand for OPEC crude is projected at 32.2 mb/d, around 0.6 mb/d higher than the 2016 level.
Source: OPEC
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Tuesday, 20 March 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It has been a chilling start to the week for the global economy, with the vast majority of stock exchanges noting a fair drop, after a series of se ...
Tuesday, 20 March 18
TRAFIGURA GROUP PTE LTD SIGNS RECORD US$5.725 BILLION EUROPEAN MULTICURRENCY SYNDICATED REVOLVING CREDIT FACILITIES AND JPY72.64 BILLION DENOMINATED THREE YEAR TERM LOAN
Press Release: Trafigura Group Pte Ltd. (“Trafigura” or the “Company”), a market leader in the global commodities industry, ...
Monday, 19 March 18
PANAMAX: DESPITE FEWER REPORTED PERIOD TRADES THIS WEEK, RATE LEVELS HAVE REMAINED SOLID - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
There were finally reports of increased Brazil activity, but still largely unconfirmed. Vale reportedly took six ships Thursday for 5 Ap ...
Friday, 16 March 18
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DROPS 1.9 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.8 million short tons ...
Friday, 16 March 18
INDONESIA COAL PRICE CAP POSES LIMITED RISKS TO PRODUCERS : FITCH
Indonesia’s cap on the benchmark price of coal sold to the domestic electricity sector is unlikely to have a significant impact on the credit ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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