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Wednesday, 25 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KAKAVITSAS
 Remember that old but classic song called “Destination Unknown”? Well that is where the oil market is heading right now. The song made a splash with a catchy beat and a noticeable video clip reaching the top of the charts. The oil market on the other hand, may attract attention however, whether it will head for higher or lower levels remains very uncertain.
As far as the performance of the crude oil price is concerned, the signals we are getting are so far mixed, with discouraging fundamentals and optimistic headlines equally affecting prices. Both OPEC and Non-OPEC countries have agreed a production cut as a way to deal with the global oil glut and low prices, which resulted in the Brent blend rallying from $46/bbl to a peak of $57/bbl on 6th January, while it’s currently trading around $55/bbl. So far, so good for the big boys of oil but what about the long-term sustainability of these higher price levels?
Russia’s production reached record highs in December and the second-biggest oil producer seemed very happy at this year’s World Economic Forum not only due to their large oil-driven revenues so far, but also due to positive expectations deriving from the new US president who suggests to ease or even remove sanctions imposed on Russia. Even though Russia’s production plays a significant role, the bigger determinant leading to the persistence of the glut could be US shale oil producers. With notably more operating costs and thus a higher breakeven than other oil extractors, most of shale drillers had shut-down production during lower prices only to come back into profitable business at current levels. Finally, taking into consideration the fact that the US dollar has strengthened, hitting a 14-year high during December, pressure for lower price levels grow stronger.
Keeping this insight melodic, you might recall the lyrics of another popular song of the 90s; “Hello, hello, hello, how low?”. Could this be the tune for the tanker market in 2017? The dominant common factor for both the dirty and clean market is the large number of newbuilding deliveries that could potentially lead to lower freight rates. Saying that, as in the short-run tonnage supply will not significantly change; demand is expected to primarily drive the market in the following months. In the dirty sector, lower oil prices may drive demand for ships higher however; those already excessive inventories could be an obstacle to such rally. The outlook for product tankers falls no further from the mixed-signal environment the dirty market operates in, with the LR market seeing a record-high in vessel deliveries. Greater diversification with respect to trade routes and cargoes, especially in the MR market allow for wider range projections; still forecasts for demand growth for petroleum products making any prediction for the freight market challenging.
In conclusion, well, is there any yet? Amidst mixed fundamentals it would be careless to prematurely jump to any conclusions, as market sentiment has proved to be not only an unpredictable factor but also an influential one. Under the current state of uncertainty, it is still unclear whether the bears will prevail or the bulls will be justified and thus the only safe conclusion that can be reached is nicely summed-up in the title of another pop music hit called “Blank Space”.
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Friday, 13 January 17
U.S. COAL PRICES TO INCREASE IN 2017 AND IN 2018 - EIA
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 158 million short tons (MMst) (18%) in 2016, to 739 MMst, which would be the lowe ...
Friday, 13 January 17
U.S. COAL IMPORTS IN THIRD QUARTER 2016 TOTALED 2.7 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.8 million short ton ...
Thursday, 12 January 17
ASIA: COAL'S FUTURE - BENJAMIN SPORTON
As economies develop and the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are realised, demand for energy will increase as more peopl ...
Wednesday, 11 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE DERMATIS
A new year has dawned upon us and it sure promises to be an exciting one which makes it practically impossible to resist the challenge of making a ...
Tuesday, 10 January 17
SHIPPING MARKET 2017
After having entered into a New Year, fresh hopes seem to be high for this to be the turning point in the market that many have been looking forwar ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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