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Wednesday, 25 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KAKAVITSAS
 Remember that old but classic song called “Destination Unknown”? Well that is where the oil market is heading right now. The song made a splash with a catchy beat and a noticeable video clip reaching the top of the charts. The oil market on the other hand, may attract attention however, whether it will head for higher or lower levels remains very uncertain.
As far as the performance of the crude oil price is concerned, the signals we are getting are so far mixed, with discouraging fundamentals and optimistic headlines equally affecting prices. Both OPEC and Non-OPEC countries have agreed a production cut as a way to deal with the global oil glut and low prices, which resulted in the Brent blend rallying from $46/bbl to a peak of $57/bbl on 6th January, while it’s currently trading around $55/bbl. So far, so good for the big boys of oil but what about the long-term sustainability of these higher price levels?
Russia’s production reached record highs in December and the second-biggest oil producer seemed very happy at this year’s World Economic Forum not only due to their large oil-driven revenues so far, but also due to positive expectations deriving from the new US president who suggests to ease or even remove sanctions imposed on Russia. Even though Russia’s production plays a significant role, the bigger determinant leading to the persistence of the glut could be US shale oil producers. With notably more operating costs and thus a higher breakeven than other oil extractors, most of shale drillers had shut-down production during lower prices only to come back into profitable business at current levels. Finally, taking into consideration the fact that the US dollar has strengthened, hitting a 14-year high during December, pressure for lower price levels grow stronger.
Keeping this insight melodic, you might recall the lyrics of another popular song of the 90s; “Hello, hello, hello, how low?”. Could this be the tune for the tanker market in 2017? The dominant common factor for both the dirty and clean market is the large number of newbuilding deliveries that could potentially lead to lower freight rates. Saying that, as in the short-run tonnage supply will not significantly change; demand is expected to primarily drive the market in the following months. In the dirty sector, lower oil prices may drive demand for ships higher however; those already excessive inventories could be an obstacle to such rally. The outlook for product tankers falls no further from the mixed-signal environment the dirty market operates in, with the LR market seeing a record-high in vessel deliveries. Greater diversification with respect to trade routes and cargoes, especially in the MR market allow for wider range projections; still forecasts for demand growth for petroleum products making any prediction for the freight market challenging.
In conclusion, well, is there any yet? Amidst mixed fundamentals it would be careless to prematurely jump to any conclusions, as market sentiment has proved to be not only an unpredictable factor but also an influential one. Under the current state of uncertainty, it is still unclear whether the bears will prevail or the bulls will be justified and thus the only safe conclusion that can be reached is nicely summed-up in the title of another pop music hit called “Blank Space”.
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Monday, 30 January 17
DUE TO LUNAR YEAR HOLIDAYS, THE FREIGHT MARKET STAYED WEAK
COALspot.com: Due to Lunar year holidays and celebration, the Freight market was down in all segments this past week.
The Baltic Exchange, tra ...
Friday, 27 January 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT RISES FOR THIRD STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.8 million short ton ...
Tuesday, 24 January 17
MARKET UPDATE - ALLIED
This week at the World Economic Forum in the Swiss resort of Davos we had a historic first via the attendance and speech given by China’s pre ...
Monday, 23 January 17
THE PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED $AU 15.279 BILLION WORTH OF 161.399 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN 2016
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1,453.1 M ...
Monday, 23 January 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET DID NOT CHANGE MUCH AND WAS ALMOST AT SAME LEVELS AS LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Freight market did not change much and was almost at same levels as last week.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Coal Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The University of Queensland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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