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Tuesday, 10 January 17
SHIPPING MARKET 2017
 After having entered into a New Year, fresh hopes seem to be high for this to be the turning point in the market that many have been looking forward to for several years now. As such the question being thrown around more often nowadays is “what’s in store for 2017” and “will we see a better market this year”, prompting many to take out their “crystal balls” seeking to see if this will be a year of gains or yet another full of further pains, said Allied shipping in its latest weekly report.
According head of market research & asset valuations of Allied shipping George Lazaridis, on the Dry Bulk side, the market gone through some of its worst pains over the last twelve months and are now looking towards a brighter future in the horizon (or is this just hopeful thinking?). On the ugly side of things, it looks as though demand is likely to face serious issues in the near term. Further trimming of coal consumption seems to be in sight, given the serious smog problems being faced in China’s capital these past months. Allied shipping further noted that, other industrial commodities such as iron ore are still tied to a global economy which is still seemingly anaemic in nature and as such are unlikely to show any extraordinarily boosted figures in terms of trade growth. While being on the topic of global economic growth, there are still a number of risks to be faced, given the developments scheduled in this year’s political agenda, with Europe now taking centre stage for most as a number of countries in the region are set to go through some “tricky elections” while the U.K. will also start tackling the difficult negotiations as to its terms of exit. As to developments in the U.S., not much is yet known as to what the new direction will be of the next U.S. president and what this will spell in terms of trade relations for the world’s largest economy.
That’s as far as the main bad news have to go. However there are a number of bright spots in the horizon which could just make 2017 the turning point in the market that everyone has been looking forward to. The order book in the dry bulk market has been at some of its lowest levels (compared to the active fleet) that we have seen in over 15 years now, says Allied. Given the current order book schedule this also means that the growth in supply will start to stagnate after June. At the same "me and unlike what we have seen in the past, there is currently little appetite for another ordering frenzy to take place, while many shipbuilders are already finding themselves in dire conditions, making the possibility of offering extra incentives such as easy financing and favourable payment terms and prices a difficult thing right now. As the order book starts to dry up, the world’s shipbuilding capacity will start to shrink considerably and as that happens, the market will be finally allowed to go through longer cycles then the two year peaks and troughs we have grown accustomed to over the past 8 years, said head of market research & asset valuations of Allied shipping George Lazaridis in latest weekly report.
Allied research team further noted that, things are a little shakier for the tanker sector, where we expect to see demand levels slowly slumber as the price of crude oil continues its rise. Demand in the crude oil trade has been facing difficulties for many years now and given that the main driver of the market (low prices) has now left us, the balance in the market will become more unstable. The order book is not in the worst state it has ever been, as few went out to order new vessels during the past two years, though even this might eventually prove to be more then what tanker owners would like.
Given that non-OPEC oil production could once again flourish under these new terms, the price of crude is expected to cap at lower levels then what it was 3 years ago, but all will depend as to how high that price cap will be, Allied concluded.
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Monday, 16 January 17
WHY THE SOLUTION TO INDIA'S ENERGY CHALLENGE LIES IN COAL POWER PLANTS - BENJAMIN SPORTON
India’s huge development and energy challenges mean there are economic and development arguments for investing in new coal power plants for t ...
Friday, 13 January 17
U.S. COAL PRICES TO INCREASE IN 2017 AND IN 2018 - EIA
Coal Supply
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 158 million short tons (MMst) (18%) in 2016, to 739 MMst, which would be the lowe ...
Friday, 13 January 17
U.S. COAL IMPORTS IN THIRD QUARTER 2016 TOTALED 2.7 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.8 million short ton ...
Thursday, 12 January 17
ASIA: COAL'S FUTURE - BENJAMIN SPORTON
As economies develop and the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are realised, demand for energy will increase as more peopl ...
Wednesday, 11 January 17
MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE DERMATIS
A new year has dawned upon us and it sure promises to be an exciting one which makes it practically impossible to resist the challenge of making a ...
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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