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Wednesday, 07 December 16
IT'S BEEN YET ANOTHER TURBULENT COUPLE OF DAYS..... - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It’s been yet another turbulent couple of days, with a significant number of news headlines shaking up markets.
On Friday we had the OPEC agreement coming to light, with all members and Russia agreeing to cut down production outputs. This has had a fairly imminent impact with Brent crude oil rising to above US$ 55 a barrel earlier today, the highest level it has reached in over 16 months, says George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied in his latest weekly report.
George Lazaridis further says, despite the fact that there is still considerable debate as to how the price will trend moving forward, with some estimates reaching as high as US$60 and US$70 a barrel. There is however some skepticism in reference to the effectiveness of this current agreement. There are a number of major non-member producers which could threaten the effectiveness of this deal, while there is even a threat from within OPEC itself. The last time that a quote was set, members exceeded their individual quotes for 20 out of the 24 months before the quote being eventually scrapped at the end of 2015.
Allied Shipbroking’s weekly report further noted that it wasn’t all about oil this week, with the Referendum in Italy on Sunday taking main stage and threatening stability with in Europe and the Euro are a once again. After losing the Referendum, Italy ’s Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi, is now anticipated to offer his resignation to the President Sergio Mattarella, who in turn will have to weigh the options and see how well balanced the governing party is to support another prime minister while seeking to avoid the option of early elections taking place. This was initially a major hit on the Euro, with early hours trading on Monday seeing a considerable drop. Things however took a quick shift as markets started to re-question the significance this could have on the market, while it also seems as though markets had already priced in the outcome of the referendum several weeks in advance seeing that the “No ” vote was ahead in most pre-voting polls.
According to George Lazaridis, all these developments have only gone towards further strengthening the U.S. Dollar which now seems to be become a threat in itself for most of the emerging markets. Major markets such as Europe and Japan cheer on for a stronger dollar, which has the benefit of allowing them to improve their trading terms while also helping keep pressure on inflation. Things are very different for most emerging markets however which will have to battle out with their dollar denominated debt held by both governments and companies, while there are concerns that a stronger dollar will also create a shortage of credit for these markets. The fear is that the overall net effect could be a dampener on trade , though this is disputable as in a state were the OECD economies start to generate higher economic growth figures they could also produce the consumption needed to drive trade and growth for emerging markets and help them counter any negative offset produced in the short -run by a stronger dollar.
As for shipping, the effects are also mixed. On the one-hand you have worries as to how trade could be effected by both the strengthening of the price of crude oil and the stronger U.S. Dollar, though this is nothing new for us given that we have been in a “limbo ” state of uncertainty for several years now. The most imminent effect will likely be on asset prices, with several ship owners with debt denominated in currencies other the U.S. dollars (e.g. Japanese owners) likely to look more favourably on any sale option as the U.S. dollar strengthens. This however could have an unintended consequence, with a bigger selection of high specification units driving the buying frenzy further in markets such as that of dry bulkers, George Lazaridis concluded.
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Wednesday, 14 December 16
INTERNATIONAL TRIBUNAL DISMISSED CHURCHILL MINING'S DAMAGES CLAIM AGAINST REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
The Directors of Churchill Mining plc advise that, the ICSID Tribunal (“Tribunal”) granted Indonesia’s application to dismiss the ...
Wednesday, 14 December 16
20/20 VISION! - JOHN N. COTZIAS
2020; A year that could be changing shipping. In early November, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) announced that it would set a 0.5% s ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET MAY WELL BE SHOWING SIGNS OF HEADING FOR ITS DOWNWARD CORRECTIVE PHASE - ALLIED
2016 has been a tough market for dry bulkers and through these difficult earnings, we have seen some of the lowest prices being noted historically ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
COAL DEMAND GROWTH TO STALL AS APPETITE WANES, ACCORDING TO IEA
Growth in global coal demand will stall over the next five years as the appetite for the fuel wanes and other energy sources gain ground, according ...
Monday, 12 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 16.3 MMST, UP 7.4% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.3 million short ton ...
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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