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Wednesday, 07 December 16
IT'S BEEN YET ANOTHER TURBULENT COUPLE OF DAYS..... - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 It’s been yet another turbulent couple of days, with a significant number of news headlines shaking up markets.
On Friday we had the OPEC agreement coming to light, with all members and Russia agreeing to cut down production outputs. This has had a fairly imminent impact with Brent crude oil rising to above US$ 55 a barrel earlier today, the highest level it has reached in over 16 months, says George Lazaridis Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations of Allied in his latest weekly report.
George Lazaridis further says, despite the fact that there is still considerable debate as to how the price will trend moving forward, with some estimates reaching as high as US$60 and US$70 a barrel. There is however some skepticism in reference to the effectiveness of this current agreement. There are a number of major non-member producers which could threaten the effectiveness of this deal, while there is even a threat from within OPEC itself. The last time that a quote was set, members exceeded their individual quotes for 20 out of the 24 months before the quote being eventually scrapped at the end of 2015.
Allied Shipbroking’s weekly report further noted that it wasn’t all about oil this week, with the Referendum in Italy on Sunday taking main stage and threatening stability with in Europe and the Euro are a once again. After losing the Referendum, Italy ’s Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi, is now anticipated to offer his resignation to the President Sergio Mattarella, who in turn will have to weigh the options and see how well balanced the governing party is to support another prime minister while seeking to avoid the option of early elections taking place. This was initially a major hit on the Euro, with early hours trading on Monday seeing a considerable drop. Things however took a quick shift as markets started to re-question the significance this could have on the market, while it also seems as though markets had already priced in the outcome of the referendum several weeks in advance seeing that the “No ” vote was ahead in most pre-voting polls.
According to George Lazaridis, all these developments have only gone towards further strengthening the U.S. Dollar which now seems to be become a threat in itself for most of the emerging markets. Major markets such as Europe and Japan cheer on for a stronger dollar, which has the benefit of allowing them to improve their trading terms while also helping keep pressure on inflation. Things are very different for most emerging markets however which will have to battle out with their dollar denominated debt held by both governments and companies, while there are concerns that a stronger dollar will also create a shortage of credit for these markets. The fear is that the overall net effect could be a dampener on trade , though this is disputable as in a state were the OECD economies start to generate higher economic growth figures they could also produce the consumption needed to drive trade and growth for emerging markets and help them counter any negative offset produced in the short -run by a stronger dollar.
As for shipping, the effects are also mixed. On the one-hand you have worries as to how trade could be effected by both the strengthening of the price of crude oil and the stronger U.S. Dollar, though this is nothing new for us given that we have been in a “limbo ” state of uncertainty for several years now. The most imminent effect will likely be on asset prices, with several ship owners with debt denominated in currencies other the U.S. dollars (e.g. Japanese owners) likely to look more favourably on any sale option as the U.S. dollar strengthens. This however could have an unintended consequence, with a bigger selection of high specification units driving the buying frenzy further in markets such as that of dry bulkers, George Lazaridis concluded.
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Tuesday, 20 December 16
TRADE HAS FELT ITS BUMPS AND SHAKES THIS YEAR - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Trade has felt its bumps and shakes this year, as growing populist protectionist and nationalist movements in the Western world start to take hold. ...
Tuesday, 20 December 16
TURNAROUND IN CHINESE ECONOMY HAS INTENSIFIED RECENTLY, SAYS COMMODORE RESEARCH
According to the most recent Weekly China Report published by Commodore Research, it has remained encouraging that the turnaround in China’s ...
Monday, 19 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DOWN 3.1% PERCENT WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.8 million short ton ...
Monday, 19 December 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS CONTINUING TO SOFTEN
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continually decline this past week and ending on a negati ...
Thursday, 15 December 16
SUPRAMAXES ARE ACHIEVING AROUND HIGH USD 7K FOR INDO/CHINA COAL ROUNDS - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Pacific has been relatively quiet this week, with some softening signs.
Supramaxes are achieving around high USD 7k for Indo/China ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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