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Friday, 28 October 16
STEAM COAL IMPORTS: CHINA AND INDIA'S ROLE REVERSALS - BEN TRIMMEL
 While a sharp decline in European imports is a key driver of the expected fall in steam coal trade this year, China and India remain leading actors, together accounting for a third of global seaborne steam coal imports. In recent years the two have alternated between the ‘hero’ and ‘villain’ roles in coal trade, with either firm import growth supporting volumes, or a decline stifling steam coal trade growth, said Ben Trimmel of Clarksons in its latest analysis report published on Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Network.
China: From Hero To Zero
China has enjoyed a lead role in steam coal trade in recent years, accounting for 32% of global seaborne import growth in 2010-14. However, the country’s slowing economic growth, stricter coal quality regulations and an 11% y-o-y rise in domestic steam coal output to 3bn tons triggered a 33% drop in Chinese steam coal imports to 128mt in 2015. This represented a five-year low and a change in China’s role in steam coal trade.
India: A New Hope?
Meanwhile, Indian steam coal imports rose 13% y-o-y in 1H 2015 and it briefly seemed that India might fill the void left by China’s shrinking imports. However, an 8% y-o-y rise in Indian steam coal output to around 0.5bn tonnes in 2015 drove a 3% drop in Indian steam coal imports in the full year. This has continued into 2016, with a 13% y-o-y fall in imports to 64mt in January-May. It seems that hopes of a new steam coal ‘hero’ emerging might have been premature.
The Return Of The King?
The drop in Indian steam coal imports in early 2016 coincided with a recovery in Chinese imports. Beijing introduced strict policies to cut coal output in March, capping coal mining activity at 276 days pa, leading to a 10% y-o-y decline in Chinese steam coal output in January-July 2016 and a significant increase in coal prices and imports. The 5,550 kcal Qinhuangdao FOB spot price hit a 20 month high of $82/t in early October, while Chinese steam coal imports rose 12% y-o-y to 98mt in the first eight months of the year.
An Uncertain Future
However, in October, Beijing loosened its coal output regulations to help stabilize coal prices. While the full impact of this measure is unclear, it poses a downside risk to China’s future steam coal import demand. Nevertheless, an atypically cold winter is currently expected to help support an 8% rise in Chinese steam coal imports to 138mt in full-year 2016. Meanwhile, Indian steam coal output fell 8% y-o-y in August-September 2016, largely due to poor weather conditions and destocking at Indian power plants. While reports indicate limited Indian steam coal import demand in recent months, domestic output disruptions present a potential upside for imports in the near future. However, given the downturn in the year to date, Indian steam coal imports are still projected to drop 6% to 157mt in 2016.
By Ben Trimmel, Clarksons Shipping Intelligence Network
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Monday, 12 December 16
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities decline this past week and ending on a negative note week ...
Thursday, 08 December 16
STABLE OUTLOOK FOR GLOBAL MINING IN 2017 : FITCH
Fitch Ratings' sector and rating outlooks for the global mining industry in 2017 are both stable, reflecting Fitch's view that prices have ...
Thursday, 08 December 16
CHINESE COAL DEMAND WOULD BE THE KEY FACTOR THAT INFLUENCE WORLD COAL PRICES IN 2017, POLL
“WHAT ARE THE KEY FACTORS THAT MAY INFLUENCE WORLD'S COAL PRICES IN 2017?”
The on-line opinion poll conducted by COALspot.com ...
Thursday, 08 December 16
PANAMAX: THE FIRM TENDENCY CONTINUES IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEY
Supramax
Market remained firm - true mostly within Atlantic.
Star performer USG remained its title, where Supras reached around USD 21k ...
Wednesday, 07 December 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - THEODOROS NTALAKOS
Looking back at my previous end-of-year insights, for the last seven years, in each and every one of them, I begin with something like “there ...
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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