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Friday, 28 October 16
STEAM COAL IMPORTS: CHINA AND INDIA'S ROLE REVERSALS - BEN TRIMMEL
 While a sharp decline in European imports is a key driver of the expected fall in steam coal trade this year, China and India remain leading actors, together accounting for a third of global seaborne steam coal imports. In recent years the two have alternated between the ‘hero’ and ‘villain’ roles in coal trade, with either firm import growth supporting volumes, or a decline stifling steam coal trade growth, said Ben Trimmel of Clarksons in its latest analysis report published on Clarkson Shipping Intelligence Network.
China: From Hero To Zero
China has enjoyed a lead role in steam coal trade in recent years, accounting for 32% of global seaborne import growth in 2010-14. However, the country’s slowing economic growth, stricter coal quality regulations and an 11% y-o-y rise in domestic steam coal output to 3bn tons triggered a 33% drop in Chinese steam coal imports to 128mt in 2015. This represented a five-year low and a change in China’s role in steam coal trade.
India: A New Hope?
Meanwhile, Indian steam coal imports rose 13% y-o-y in 1H 2015 and it briefly seemed that India might fill the void left by China’s shrinking imports. However, an 8% y-o-y rise in Indian steam coal output to around 0.5bn tonnes in 2015 drove a 3% drop in Indian steam coal imports in the full year. This has continued into 2016, with a 13% y-o-y fall in imports to 64mt in January-May. It seems that hopes of a new steam coal ‘hero’ emerging might have been premature.
The Return Of The King?
The drop in Indian steam coal imports in early 2016 coincided with a recovery in Chinese imports. Beijing introduced strict policies to cut coal output in March, capping coal mining activity at 276 days pa, leading to a 10% y-o-y decline in Chinese steam coal output in January-July 2016 and a significant increase in coal prices and imports. The 5,550 kcal Qinhuangdao FOB spot price hit a 20 month high of $82/t in early October, while Chinese steam coal imports rose 12% y-o-y to 98mt in the first eight months of the year.
An Uncertain Future
However, in October, Beijing loosened its coal output regulations to help stabilize coal prices. While the full impact of this measure is unclear, it poses a downside risk to China’s future steam coal import demand. Nevertheless, an atypically cold winter is currently expected to help support an 8% rise in Chinese steam coal imports to 138mt in full-year 2016. Meanwhile, Indian steam coal output fell 8% y-o-y in August-September 2016, largely due to poor weather conditions and destocking at Indian power plants. While reports indicate limited Indian steam coal import demand in recent months, domestic output disruptions present a potential upside for imports in the near future. However, given the downturn in the year to date, Indian steam coal imports are still projected to drop 6% to 157mt in 2016.
By Ben Trimmel, Clarksons Shipping Intelligence Network
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Wednesday, 14 December 16
INTERNATIONAL TRIBUNAL DISMISSED CHURCHILL MINING'S DAMAGES CLAIM AGAINST REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
The Directors of Churchill Mining plc advise that, the ICSID Tribunal (“Tribunal”) granted Indonesia’s application to dismiss the ...
Wednesday, 14 December 16
20/20 VISION! - JOHN N. COTZIAS
2020; A year that could be changing shipping. In early November, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) announced that it would set a 0.5% s ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
THE FREIGHT MARKET MAY WELL BE SHOWING SIGNS OF HEADING FOR ITS DOWNWARD CORRECTIVE PHASE - ALLIED
2016 has been a tough market for dry bulkers and through these difficult earnings, we have seen some of the lowest prices being noted historically ...
Tuesday, 13 December 16
COAL DEMAND GROWTH TO STALL AS APPETITE WANES, ACCORDING TO IEA
Growth in global coal demand will stall over the next five years as the appetite for the fuel wanes and other energy sources gain ground, according ...
Monday, 12 December 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 16.3 MMST, UP 7.4% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.3 million short ton ...
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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