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Wednesday, 05 October 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
 On September 27th the OPEC petroleum and energy ministers arrived in Algeria to attend the International Energy Forum, which brought together producers and consumers to discuss the present energy market conditions. After the closing of the IEF conference, OPEC Ministers held informal talks in an effort to cut a deal that would either freeze or reduce oil supply in pursuit of more stabilized markets and elevated oil prices. The current output OPEC members is more than 33.2 million barrels a day and inventories will grow even higher if no action is taken. It has been argued that oil production needs to be reduced by 1 million barrels a day so that the market rebalances. Likewise, Algeria’s energy minister reasoned that “oil has sufficiently fluctuated on speculation that OPEC and Russia will agree to support oil prices in the midst of oversupply”.
The question that arises is if OPEC members can do the impossible, which for most seems like having a mountain to climb. As discussed, one of the reasons that oil prices are low is due to the oversupplied market with members having had no success in negotiating production cutbacks so far. Major producers, driven by Saudi Arabia have been pumping at near record levels over the last two years, trying to maintain their market share by squeezing out higher cost producers such as the U.S and Canada. Consequently, since 2014 oil prices have dropped by 60% and U.S. production has diminished. The income of nations such as Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Russia depends on their exports and low prices have proven to be troublesome. Furthermore, consenting to production freeze at current levels may seem a fair compromise but not a promising solution. IEA forecasts that global oil surplus will last well into 2017 as demand grows at a slower pace than previously foreseen, particularly in Asia. Meanwhile, not only OPEC members output is at record levels but Russia is also producing close to its maximum capacity, while Libya and Nigeria indicate they want to raise their output for the rest of this year.
Moreover, Iran's full on return earlier this year further affected the market, as the country has been continuously increasing its oil output in an effort to once more claim its place as one of the world's top oil exporters. In any case, Saudi Arabia won’t wish for Iran to expand its production while the country itself is cutting back as that would mean handing over market share to its main regional competitor. It was recently reported that Saudi Arabia may agree to decrease production if only Iran acknowledges freezing its output level. Either way, once OPEC members come to an agreement they won’t want prices to go higher than $55-60 per barrel as they will risk helping higher cost competitors, such as shale oil producers, to get back in the game.
Inevitably, the equilibrium point is fragile for leading oil producers to achieve. On one side, a greedy stance to accomplish higher prices will give the leeway to higher cost producers to step in and on the other side a conservative attitude to defend their market share, flirts with the risk of operating at a loss. The global oil market has faced numerous difficulties, deriving essentially from excess supply. Oil-exporting countries and companies’ profits have deteriorated, increasing their budget deficits and crippling their economy. Additionally, those low prices inevitably lead to layoffs and reductions in new venture spending. But even with all these negative effects, the scenario in which the stagnation of oil major oil producers eventually leads to demand exceeding supply and leads to higher prices is a bit off. So IT IS really down to OPEC’s joined action despite many believing that the organization can’t do much these days.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 27 May 16
PET-COKE IMPORTS TO FACE PRESSURE IN INDIA
COALspot.com: An Indian environmental activist moved the National Green Tribunal seeking ban on the use of all forms of petroleum coke, also called ...
Friday, 27 May 16
US COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 2.9% WOW, ACCORDING TO EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11.7 million short tons (mm ...
Thursday, 26 May 16
GIANT ORE CARRIERS SET TO PLAY A BIGGER ROLE IN THE GLOBAL SHIPPING FLEET: CHINA EMBRACES VALEMAXES - RICHARD SCOTT
Another phase of the giant ships era is approaching. Chinese shipowners placed orders recently for 30 huge ‘valemax’ ore carriers. Thes ...
Wednesday, 25 May 16
MEDIATION AS A WAY TO RESOLVE DISPUTES IN THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY - LANA JACOBS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The shipping market is currently experiencing a serious recession with the Baltic Dry Index and Baltic Capesize Index bot ...
Wednesday, 25 May 16
DRY BULK SNP MARKET DISPLAYS SIGNS OF STRENGTH - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
Only a couple of weeks away from the world’s most prominent maritime event, the market for tankers displays an evident lack of confidence in ...
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The University of Queensland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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