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Wednesday, 22 June 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
 Stagnation- With the BDI stuck in the low 600 points for almost a month now, if we had to choose a word to describe the state of the Dry Bulk freight market at the moment, stagnation is the one that pretty much sums it up.
It seems that at this point of time the dry bulk market has found some sort of balance around OPEX levels for all segments, but even in these cases where a small profit margin is achieved, this is usually too insignificant to allow owners to meet the additional obligations arising from the financing cost that burdens most vessels.
The question that naturally arises is what will be this decisive event that will create the momentum to help drag the market outs if this current stagnation and what sorts of levels can it push the market to.
Irrespective of where the market is, the last two quarters of the year are typically stronger due to the boost of trade volumes of a number of dry cargo commodities at this time of the year. This means that we could well see the index nearing 700 points before the end of the year. Saying that, last year comes as a reminder that history doesn't always repeat itself. While bold predictions were made for the end of 2015, the market not only didn’t move upwards but it actually marked historical , up to that point, lows in many cases, which brings us to the negative scenario for this year end.
The prolonged uncertainty caused by long-term stagnation with minimum profits even for vessels without any CAPEX, has been certainly affecting psychology. Even though there has certainly been an improvement when compared to the first quarter of the year, when lay-up talk had heated up, the fact that a ceiling seems to have been reached for now is definitely removing sentiment support to a degree.
The third scenario is for the index to keep moving around the same levels for an even longer period of time, with the opposing market forces cancelling each other out, allowing the BDI to achieve only minimal adjusting movements around current levels.
Depending on which scenario market players believe in most, a different view is being shaped in regards to second-hand market strategy. From the one side the most optimistic players, taking advantage of the very attractive prices that are still close to all-time historical lows, move aggressively, inspecting vessels and choosing their investments strategically. A very distinctive example of players who seem to trust the market’s dynamics, taking a position in favor of an upcoming improvement are names like these of Oldendorff, Laskaridis and Marmaras who have recently acquired larger tonnage vessels. The same tendency can be found in vessels of smaller tonnage as modern Handy’s attract firm interest from perspective buyers. On the other side, many owners choose the opposite strategy selling their vessels or making them available for sale.
It is indisputable that 2016 has so far proven to be a great window for shopping in all dry bulk sizes. The key question is how long this window will remain open for. Even if the BDI further advances during the upcoming months, it is hard to believe that asset values will increase to last year's levels anytime soon, which in turn probably offers additional time to prospective buyers to carefully monitor available market candidates and even adjust their buying strategy.
By Nassos Soulakis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 27 June 16
THE BDI UP 3.75 PERCENT ; BCI FELL 1.51% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 3.75 percent from las ...
Monday, 27 June 16
INDONESIA BANS (AGAIN) SHIPS SAILING TO THE PHILIPPINES FROM INDONESIA
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Transport Ministry strictly prohibited harbour masters issuing permits to all Indonesian-flagged vessels bound for the ...
Friday, 24 June 16
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP MARGINALLY
COALspot.com – U.S, world’s one of the largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.4 million short tons ...
Wednesday, 22 June 16
SMALL RISE IN SHIPPING CONFIDENCE - MOORE STEPHENS
In May 2016, the average confidence level expressed by respondents in the markets in which they operate was 5.1 on a scale of 1 (low) to 10 (high). ...
Monday, 20 June 16
CS COAL INDICES CONTINUE UPWARD TREND SINCE END APRIL
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up again by 0.05 percent week over week to averaging $39.39 per ton this past we ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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