We welcome article submissions from experts in the areas of coal, mining,
shipping, etc.
To Submit your article please click here.
|
|
|
Monday, 11 April 16
ON THE TIGHTROPE, IT CAN BE HARD TO KEEP YOUR BALANCE.... - CLARKSONS
 Today’s headlines often point towards the impact of the demand side on the state of health of the shipping markets. But despite the fact that today’s global orderbook appears less onerous than previously (at 16% of the fleet), capacity levels are still important, and a look at the future of the supply side can provide an idea of just how hard a balancing act the markets still face in today’s demand conditions.
Like The High-Wire?
An indicator combining capacity and demand elements gives an idea of how difficult it might be just to maintain the current supply-demand balance, before the surplus present in many sectors today can even be addressed. The graph shows a ratio which compares the orderbook as a percentage of the fleet to ‘current’ and ‘trend’ rates of demand growth in a selection of sectors (see graph description for details). At a high level, this broadly indicates how many years of demand growth the orderbook to be delivered over the next few years equates to, and how much the supply side will need to otherwise adjust to balance things out. In many cases, even after a sharp slowdown in ordering, this looks like a real high-wire act.
How Hard Does It Look?
The orderbook for oil tankers equates to 18% of the fleet, equivalent to 8 years of ‘current’ demand growth, so there could be some work to be done there to maintain today’s balance. However, it’s the bulkcarrier sector which really illustrates the impact of slower demand growth. Today’s orderbook, 15% of the fleet, equates to 11 years of ‘current’ demand growth. In the boxship sector, relatively faster trade growth (despite an historically slothful 2015) means that today’s orderbook equates to a perhaps more manageable 4 years of ‘current’ trade growth. Other sectors reinforce the impact of demand side issues. The LNG carrier orderbook equates to 14 years of ‘current’ trade expansion (although expectations might be for improved trade growth, and the figure drops to 3 years on the basis of the ‘trend’ rate), and for car carriers the figure stands at 13 years.
Balancing Acts
Of course, in market mechanics, it’s often the supply side which adjusts, and other factors not captured by the ratio used here can lend a hand. Demolition is one obvious factor, with, for example, the relative size of potential bulkcarrier capacity growth suppressed by record levels of demolition this year so far (14.1m dwt in Q1). Delay or cancellation of the orderbook also plays a role: 42% of start year scheduled bulkcarrier deliveries failed to enter the fleet in 2015. Changes in vessel productivity, such as adjustments to operating speeds, can also impact of the absorption of capacity in the future.
Still Walking The Tightrope
Nevertheless, shipping globally still appears to be walking a tightrope in the current demand environment. Today’s orderbook equates to 7 years of ‘current’ seaborne trade growth (a rate of 2.4%), though looks slightly less daunting (5 years) if demand growth was to reach the last decade’s ‘trend’ rate (3.4%). But in current demand conditions, even to maintain the status quo, there’s a significant supply-side balancing act to perform.
Source: Clarksons
If you believe an article violates your rights or the rights of others, please contact us.
|
|
Wednesday, 23 March 16
THE PANAMA CANAL - WILL THE MELTING OF POLAR ICE CAPS CREATE RIVAL NAVIGATIONAL WATERWAYS THROUGH THE ARCTIC? - INTERMODAL
The Panama Canal, 102 years after its initial opening, is now about to have its expansion completed with a cost of USD5.25 Billion. It is a project ...
Tuesday, 22 March 16
FOUR NEW MARKET MEMBERS HAVE JOINED GLOBALCOAL
globalCOAL® announced yesterday that four new Market Members have joined its international trading community.
Ferrocadia DMCC is an intern ...
Monday, 21 March 16
INDONESIAN 4200 GAR COAL INDEX ROSE $0.12 OR, 0.44% WEEK OVER WEEK; INDEX CLOASED AT $27.19 A TON
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.21 percent week over week to averaging $38.90 per ton on this past Friday, ac ...
Monday, 21 March 16
THE BALTIC DRY INDEX ROSE SLIGHTLY WEEK OVER WEEK; BCI UP 11.93%
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued rose this week helped by higher rates for Cape ...
Friday, 18 March 16
OUTLOOK ON GLOBAL SHIPPING SECTOR TURNS NEGATIVE AS SUPPLY-DEMAND GAP WIDENS AND EBITDA DECLINES - MOODY'S
Moody’s Investors Service (Moody’s) has changed its outlook on the global shipping sector to negative as it expects supply growth to ou ...
|
|
|
Showing 2511 to 2515 news of total 6871 |
|
 |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
 |
|
|
| |
|
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Planning Commission, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
|
| |
| |
|