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Wednesday, 30 March 16
VALEMAXES: THE BIGGEST NIGHTMARE OF TODAY'S DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
 At a time that Europe is still dealing with the aftermath of the terrorist attacks in Brussels our society is daily bombarded with news of terrorist-related acts in every corner of the world. While it is by no means the purpose of this column to cover such issues, it is hard to ignore the effects of such events upon our societies or the uncertainty they enforce upon the world economy –including shipping- that still fights with its own nightmares.
Let’s take the Valemaxes for example; the biggest nightmare of today’s dry bulk market.
At a time that sentiment and hard facts could not look any dimmer, it is with extreme numbness that markets received the news that Chinese shipping majors Cosco Group, China Merchants Group and ICBC Financial Leasing Co. have placed orders for 30 giant Valemax vessels that worth a combined $2.5 billion. The exact number of vessels on order varies according to different reports and whilst deliveries look set to commence in 2018, no one knows the exact schedule that has been agreed with the 4 Chinese yards that have agreed to undertake this ambitious project.
If we are to state the obvious, there is no denying that such move –originally designed to increase China’s grip on the supply side of iron ore- would put further pressure on independent shipowners amidst one of the longest ever downturns ever witnessed on the dry sector. However, instead over-dramatizing the situation let’s start looking for a silver lining in this mighty dark cloud...
Regardless of regulations about Tier III, WBTS and other emission regulations coming into forces, which surely have been accounted for into cost calculations, Vale and their partners should be taking into consideration that scrapping age for capes has already approached the 15year mark. If we assume a moderate renewal plan in place for the “overage” VLOC’s as well, then the table above will indicate that situation might not drastically worsen by the gradual introduction of VLOC’s over the next 3 years.
On the other hand, demand for coal and coal transportation –to be more specific- is on a negative trail and the importance of iron ore as a cargo is becoming integral to all cape owners/operators; hence, we expect the fight to be even harder between Capes and VLOC’s. Should Vale and their Chinese counterparts expect to see some sense out of this market, they should first ensure that scrapping intensifies and they stay true to the one principle that we need to hold for the next 3 years; NEGATIVE fleet growth.
By Christos Trageas
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 29 April 16
U.S. COAL IMPORTS IN Q4' 15 DECLINED TO 2.7 MMST FROM 3 MMST IN Q3' 15
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 10.3 million short tons (mm ...
Thursday, 28 April 16
PRICES OF POWER-STATION COAL IN INDONESIA IS INCREASING
COALspot.com: Inquiries for Indonesian 4200 - 4400 Kcal/kg GAR thermal coal cargoes from India suddenly increase recent days.
A Jakarta-based ...
Thursday, 28 April 16
KOMIPO TO IMPORT 710K MT OF BITUMINOUS COAL DURING JULY - SEPTEMBER 2016
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender for 710,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous Coal for its B ...
Thursday, 28 April 16
CAPE: BIT MORE OPTIMISM IN THE MARKET; SUPRAMAX: FORWARD CURVE IS FALLING - FEARNLEYS
Cape
A bit of a slower week. Activity level has dropped, though the rates do still remain firm, says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.
...
Wednesday, 27 April 16
THE OCEAN SHIPPING EXPERIENCED DRAMATIC VOLATILITY IN THE BEGINNING OF 2016 - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
Shipping’s new (ab)normal
The global economy and ocean shipping experienced dramatic volatility in the beginning of 2016 and as the glob ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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