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Wednesday, 30 March 16
VALEMAXES: THE BIGGEST NIGHTMARE OF TODAY'S DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
 At a time that Europe is still dealing with the aftermath of the terrorist attacks in Brussels our society is daily bombarded with news of terrorist-related acts in every corner of the world. While it is by no means the purpose of this column to cover such issues, it is hard to ignore the effects of such events upon our societies or the uncertainty they enforce upon the world economy –including shipping- that still fights with its own nightmares.
Let’s take the Valemaxes for example; the biggest nightmare of today’s dry bulk market.
At a time that sentiment and hard facts could not look any dimmer, it is with extreme numbness that markets received the news that Chinese shipping majors Cosco Group, China Merchants Group and ICBC Financial Leasing Co. have placed orders for 30 giant Valemax vessels that worth a combined $2.5 billion. The exact number of vessels on order varies according to different reports and whilst deliveries look set to commence in 2018, no one knows the exact schedule that has been agreed with the 4 Chinese yards that have agreed to undertake this ambitious project.
If we are to state the obvious, there is no denying that such move –originally designed to increase China’s grip on the supply side of iron ore- would put further pressure on independent shipowners amidst one of the longest ever downturns ever witnessed on the dry sector. However, instead over-dramatizing the situation let’s start looking for a silver lining in this mighty dark cloud...
Regardless of regulations about Tier III, WBTS and other emission regulations coming into forces, which surely have been accounted for into cost calculations, Vale and their partners should be taking into consideration that scrapping age for capes has already approached the 15year mark. If we assume a moderate renewal plan in place for the “overage” VLOC’s as well, then the table above will indicate that situation might not drastically worsen by the gradual introduction of VLOC’s over the next 3 years.
On the other hand, demand for coal and coal transportation –to be more specific- is on a negative trail and the importance of iron ore as a cargo is becoming integral to all cape owners/operators; hence, we expect the fight to be even harder between Capes and VLOC’s. Should Vale and their Chinese counterparts expect to see some sense out of this market, they should first ensure that scrapping intensifies and they stay true to the one principle that we need to hold for the next 3 years; NEGATIVE fleet growth.
By Christos Trageas
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 03 May 16
HOW TO AVOID THE LATEST CARGO FRAUDS - BIMCO
BIMCO receives regular reports from members around the world about cargo fraud. This week alone we have had two reports of cargoes being fixed (or ...
Monday, 02 May 16
INDIA'S GANGAVARAM PORT SETS ALL INDIA RECORD FOR NON-COKING COAL DISCHARGE
COALspot.com: Gangavaram Port, the deepest and the most modern port in India, has created yet another historical milestone record by discharging 15 ...
Monday, 02 May 16
CS (I) 5000 GAR COAL INDEX CLOSES 0.11% HIGHER, 5700 GAR COAL RISES 0.07% W/W
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin up 0.28 percent week over week to averaging $38.78 per ton on this past Friday, acco ...
Monday, 02 May 16
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO SOFT THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
Saturday, 30 April 16
40 YEARS OF HANDLING COAL AT THE BTW IN WILHELMSHAVEN UNDER THE RHENUS FLAG
Press Release: The first bulk carrier with coal on board docked at the Bulk Terminal Wilhelmshaven (BTW), which is operated by Rhenus Midgar ...
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Planning Commission, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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