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Thursday, 24 March 16
SEABORNE TRADE: CHECKING UP ON THE TRENDS - CLARKSON RESEARCH
 Following a decline in 2009, seaborne trade grew on average by 4.9% p.a. in 2010-13, reflecting booming import demand in a number of key importing countries and faster than global GDP growth. However, recent shifts in demand trends contributed to slower seaborne trade growth in 2014 (3.2%) and 2015 (2.0%). How has this reflected changes in demand for bulk shipments into major importing countries?
Multiple Problems?
The ratio between global seaborne trade growth and GDP growth (the ‘multiplier’), when considered over a long time period, can be a useful indicator of the impact of drivers in shipping. Following the economic downturn, the ratio averaged 1.3 in 2010-13, partly as strong Chinese GDP growth drove a surge in raw material imports, and globally production was outsourced to regions more distant from demand centres. Since 2014, the ratio has fallen below 1. The drop was most marked in 2015, with the ratio reaching 0.6, as world seaborne trade is estimated to have grown 2.0% and GDP by 3.1%, partly reflecting shifts in import demand. Growth in bulk imports (dry bulk and oil) to the five biggest importing nations in 2015 (see graph) slowed from an average of 5.5% p.a. in 2012-13, to 1.6% p.a. in 2014-15, with cargo totalling 3.7bt, equivalent to 49% of global bulk trade.
Sluggish Demand
Of course, China, the world’s largest importer of bulk cargoes, had been key in supporting the multiplier. The country’s bulk imports, which account for 23% of world seaborne bulk trade, grew on average by 11% p.a. 2010-13. However, the maturing Chinese economy’s shift, diversifying away from heavy industry, led to a stark slowdown in growth in bulk imports. Shipments to China rose 3% in 2014 and remained fairly flat y-o-y in 2015. Seaborne coal imports to the country fell 30% y-o-y to 188mt in 2015, while growth in iron ore imports slowed to 3%, from 15% in 2014. However, some of the loss was offset by robust crude import growth, partly supported by the oil price collapse.
Not Only China
While China is frequently highlighted as a of key driver of slower global trade growth, the expansion in imports into some other major nations was also more sluggish in 2014-15. Japan’s bulk imports, which account for 8% of the world total, grew on average by 3% p.a. in 2012-13, and fell 2% p.a. in 2014-15, to 588mt in 2015. Elsewhere, although expansion in Indian bulk imports has been firm, it is slowing. Growth slowed to 8% in 2015 due to a decline in coal imports.
In contrast, the rate of increase in Korean bulk imports picked up in 2014-15, largely underpinned by firmer growth in dry bulk shipments, although this was not enough to offset the slowdown in other countries. Elsewhere, the rate of decline in US imports eased, with most of the fall in oil imports having already taken place.
So, whilst the maturing Chinese economy has contributed to slower trade growth recently, it has not been the sole driver. Seaborne trade has still grown robustly since the start of 2009, by around 30%. But the world fleet is now 48% larger in GT terms. Surplus capacity today evident in many sectors is a clear reflection of concerted pressure from slower growth in shipments across key importers.
Source: Clarkson Research Services Limited Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 05 October 15
Q1' 16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 48.05 PER TON
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down US$ 0.47 (0.96 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
Monday, 05 October 15
SMALL DECLINE IN 2014 SHIP OPERATING COSTS - MOORE STEPHENS
Total annual operating costs in the shipping industry fell by an average of 0.8% in 2014. This compares with the 0.3% average fall in costs recorde ...
Sunday, 04 October 15
THE INDO-INDIA FREIGHT MARKET REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The BDI closed on Friday (2 Oct 2015) at 889 points, down by 54 points compared to previous Friday's closing ( 24 Sept 2015) of 9 ...
Friday, 02 October 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES DECREASED THIS WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.5 million shor ...
Thursday, 01 October 15
SOUTH KOREA'S KOMIPO SEEKS SPOT BITUMINOUS COAL SUPPLIES
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued an new tender for 265,000 Metric Tons (MT) of minimum 4,600 kcal ...
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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- White Energy Company Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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