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Wednesday, 16 March 16
OIL SUPPLY OUTPACES DEMAND ON ANY GIVEN DAY, AND BILLIONS OF BARRELS OF OIL ARE BEING STORED RATHER THAN CONSUMED - CHRISTOPHER
 Oil producers have turned to the concept of limiting their output to January levels as a certain form of action to boost prices that have fallen more than 70% since the middle of 2014. Oil supply outpaces demand on any given day, and billions of barrels of oil are being stored rather than consumed. As a result, oil prices have collapsed to as low as $26 per barrel in February, from well over $100 in 2014.
It is interesting that currently, Iran and Iraq both play an important role in the contemplated production freeze. Iran has already been increasing production and the country’s position is that it would consider oil-production caps only after the country’s output rises back to the levels before the West imposed sanctions over its nuclear program.
Basically Iran wants to increase production now, in an attempt to revive their share in the global markets, before they even consider discussing about participating in an output freeze. Iraq also has a longstanding policy of seeking to raise production regardless of the price-stabilizing policies of the OPEC.
Russia said that OPEC’s meeting with other key oil producers regarding an output freeze will probably be held in Doha, Qatar in April. They said that Iran supports the plan, while Tehran says it wants to double its crude exports to 4 million bpd first.
However, in reality according to the latest oil market data, both Russia and Saudi Arabia ramped up their oil production in February, despite talks about supply caps. Russian oil supply reached a new high of 11.08 million barrels a day in February, and Saudi Arabia during the same month increased its daily output by 14,000 barrels, to 10.14 million barrels per day, according to OPEC's analysis of market sources.
Generally speaking, countries are less willing to freeze and especially to cut production, because doing so means giving up market share for their oil, which might be hard to win back especially during this transition period. The four major oil powers, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela and Qatar, are heavily involved in the various discussions and the coordinated efforts will probably include soon also non OPEC countries such as Oman, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.
Assuming all are on board, the oil glut could begin to ease, particularly with American output on the decline. Or at least that is what they anticipate with this concept.
The fact is that a two million barrel-per-day surplus in oil supplies will continue to weigh on prices in the short term and even if these countries freeze output, they would still need more drastic efforts to support prices in the long term.
From my own perspective, it looks like their ultimate goal is to reach a certain consensus and, if they actually get there, I would expect them to quickly focus on actually reducing production in the long term. In any case, analysts estimate that maintaining production at current levels will probably not have a significant effect on prices.
Christopher Thomas Whitty
Marketing Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 17 February 16
THE OWNERS FACING HISTORICAL LOW DRY BULK RATES; COAL IMPORTS TO CHINA IS STILL POINTING TO A STRONG TREND OF DECLINING CONSUMPTION
The sharp fall in dry bulk rates that has been taking place since the end of last year and has left owners facing historical low rates for a substa ...
Monday, 15 February 16
CALL THE DOCTOR! SHIPPING'S MEDICAL DRAMA UNFOLDS......- CLARKSONS
The recycling market has started 2016 with a bang, with a huge volume of tonnage heading to demolition facilities. Many of the key shipping markets ...
Monday, 15 February 16
CS 42 COAL INDEX ROSE 0.07% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.15 percent week over week to averaging $38.96 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Monday, 15 February 16
BALTIC INDEX MARGINALLY ROSE BY A POINT D-D; CAPESIZE INDEX DOWN 13 POINTS W-W; PANAMAX INDEX UP 29 POINTS W-W
COALspot.com: The freight markets continued to fall this past week.
The BDI, The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measu ...
Friday, 12 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET'S FORTUNES STILL TIED WITH CHINA'S ECONOMY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The inevitable slowdown of the Chinese economy was expected to hurt dry bulk shipping, but few expected the blow to be this hard, especially given ...
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
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