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Monday, 08 February 16
DRY BULK: SHIPBROKER SEES BDI MARKET REACHING LOW POINT OF 236 POINTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 The endless pit that is the dry bulk market over the past two months, has been the issue of debate among ship owners, shipbroker and analysts alike, as market delegates are looking for ways to cope with the record low freight rates and determine whether the market will go next. In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking said that “with January having closed off with record lows on almost all dry indices (the exception is for the Capesize index which thanks to a small rally during the final week managed to prop slightly higher than the low of 185 points that was achieved on the 19th), many are feeling the pressure and are worried that this market has no bottom and has turned into an endless black hole”.
According to Allied’s Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, Mr. George Lazaridis, “the initial resistance point many believed the market would reach was at 345 in the BDI. This was reached this Tuesday, with quick softening followed on subsequent days easily breaking below this level. The next point in sight that it seems should provide some resistance to further drops should be at around 298 points”. This was also reached on Thursday, while Friday’s session saw thw BDI closing at 297 points. Lazaridis said that “to put this index value into perspective and given the current state of each of the individual markets, this point would refer to average TCE rates of the Capesize at around US$ 2,618pd, that of Panamaxes at US$ 2,161pd, Supramaxes at US$ 2,989pd and that of Handysizes at US$ 3,034pd.”
Yet, the main question still remains as to if this will really be a resistance level that will be hard to break. According to Lazaridis, “Logically there is a level at which the market just doesn’t make sense for anyone to trade below that point. This however depends on a number of factors with most prominent that of the time period that has passed under which the market has been receiving “subpar” rates. To explain this further, owners might be willing to accept abnormally low freight rates if they know it will only be for one-two voyages (i.e. it is a small glitch in the market). However, it is nonsensical to continually trade for long periods of time at a constant loss. Therefore, given the fact that we have been seeing these poor freight levels for around two months now and given the rumours of many owners in the market already looking seriously into their options in terms of cold lay-up, it makes sense to assume that we are under the case of the latter and are likely going to hit a level deemed as the absolute low the market can sustain for now”, Allied’s analyst noted.
He added: “Noting at the same time that we have already seen a break in the consecutive negative days posted in the Capesize market, it looks as though we can presume that this size segment might well have reached its absolute low under the current market conditions, fluctuating thereafter at levels just above and just below this until the market finds a foothold from where to improve. Taking the same premise however on all the other size segments and we see that this next theoretical resistance point will likely be reached easily within this week and could possibly drop even further”.
According to Lazaridis, “a more reasonable resistance level is likely going to prove to be at 236 points on the BDI, a level that will be hard to reach as it will require the combination of all four size segments reaching their theoretical “breaking points” at the same time, but given the market conditions we have seen over the past month, it doesn’t sound like it’s an unthinkable scenario either. Nevertheless, all this will prove to be theoretical, as in practice the market may well have further surprises down the road. The current levels are already well below what the majority of owners can sustain given their OPEX levels, as such pushing more and more to take up options such as that of scrapping or layingup vessels and in turn helping improve the supply side of things”. On the demand side of things many are hopeful of slightly better interest from Charterers after the Chinese New Year, however these hopes have faltered in the past and may well do again”, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
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Wednesday, 10 February 16
OWNERS APPEAR WILLING TO DISPOSE OF TONNAGE THE SOONEST IT HITS THE 10 YEAR MARK - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
COALspot.com: The last two months of 2015 made a case for traditional shipowners to invest in the dry bulk sector, doing so though based purely on ...
Monday, 08 February 16
DRY-BULK SHIPPING DIVING DEEP
COALspot.com: The freight markets continued to fall this past week.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measure of glo ...
Friday, 05 February 16
COAL INDIA EYES COAL MINES IN SOUTH AFRICA - PTI
“Coal India Ltd has plans of acquiring coal mines in South Africa,” an official said. It is looking at acquiring mines in partnership w ...
Friday, 05 February 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ROSE 4.2% TO 13.6 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.6 million shor ...
Thursday, 04 February 16
CAPESIZE: WEST AUSTRALIAN TO CHINA HAS BEEN CONCLUDED AT US$ 2.85 PMT AND THE C3 MARKET REMAINS INACTIVE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
As everyone is getting ready for the Chinese new year, already depressed rates are under further pressure.
According to Fearnleys, ...
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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