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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Tuesday, 13 February 24
WHAT IS THE OUTLOOK FOR THE NATURAL GAS SPOT PRICE IN 2024 AND 2025? EIA
We expect the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub natural gas spot price to average higher in 2024 and 2025 than in 2023, but to remain lower than $3.00 per m ...
Monday, 12 February 24
US THERMAL COAL EXPORTS HIT 5-YEAR HIGHS AND TOP $5 BLN IN 2023 - REUTERS
United States exporters of thermal coal earned more than $5 billion in 2023 as they shipped out more than 32.5 million metric tons of the high-poll ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
NEW E-FUELS PROJECT TO MAKE INTERNATIONAL SHIPPING CLIMATE-NEUTRAL - RINA
Transport and trade on the ocean blue must be made much greener. This is the goal of the new €17 million European GAMMA project, where compani ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA SEES ANNUAL COAL OUTPUT UP 10.9% IN 2024/25 - REUTERS
India expects domestic coal output to increase by 10.9% to 1.13 billion metric tons in the fiscal year ending March 2025, a senior government offic ...
Tuesday, 06 February 24
INDIA'S COAL PRODUCTION INCREASES BY 10.3% TO 99.73 MILLION TONNE IN JANUARY - PTI
The country’s coal output rose 10.3 per cent to 99.73 Million Tonne (MT) in January, over the same month in the previous fiscal.
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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