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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
CHINA'S INNER MONGOLIA COAL OUTPUT HIT 1.21B TONS IN 2023 - XINHUA
North China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region churned out 1.21 billion tons of coal in 2023 as it strives to guarantee the country’s e ...
Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
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- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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