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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Monday, 18 January 16
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 42.50 PER TON; UP 1% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose US$ 0.43 (1.02%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
Friday, 15 January 16
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FIRM SLIGHTLY LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month over month and week over week.
According to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's r ...
Friday, 15 January 16
SHIPPING: 2016 STARTED WITH MISERY ACROSS THE BOARD FOR SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As one would have expected, the dry bulk market starter the new year where it left off in 2015, plunging to never seen before depths, as the market ...
Friday, 15 January 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE ACROSS ALL BASINS: EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.4 million shor ...
Thursday, 14 January 16
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q3 DELIVERY CLOSED $5.90 LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap up month over month and week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB Richards Bay Coal ...
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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