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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Wednesday, 20 January 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASOS SOULAKIS
If you believe in the “January effect”, the theory according to which the beginning of a new year has a positive effect on financial in ...
Tuesday, 19 January 16
HAPPY NEW YEAR, COAL PRODUCERS! OR MAYBE NOT - ANDY ROBERTS
To coal producers, 2015 must have seemed far longer than 365 days. From their perspective, as bad as markets were at the beginning of the year, and ...
Tuesday, 19 January 16
COALTRANS ASIA IS RETURNING TO BALI
22nd Coaltrans Asia
Coaltrans Asia is returning to Bali to bring together over 1000 industry decision makers and thought leaders for three day ...
Monday, 18 January 16
INDONESIAN 5700 GAR COAL INDEX ROSE 0.60% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline slightly week over week to averaging $39.93 per ton on this past Friday, acc ...
Monday, 18 January 16
BALTIC DRY SHIPPING INDEX DROPS TO 373 POINTS; DECLINE 13% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market dropped this week as the BDI declined further 13 percent to 373 points week over week. The Cape index ...
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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