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Tuesday, 15 September 15
WORLD SEABORNE TRADE: ENTERING INTO A ROLE REVERSAL? - CLARKSONS
 Over the past decade, world seaborne trade growth has been dominated by dry bulk and container trade. However, developments in the global economy this year have led to slower trade growth in these sectors, while oil trade growth, which has accounted for a smaller share of world trade growth over the last decade, has emerged as the largest driver of global trade growth in 2015 so far.
Dry Bulk Slowdown
Dry bulk trade has been one of the fastest growing elements of seaborne trade in the last decade, recording a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% in the 2005-14 period. Expansion in dry bulk trade volumes accounted for an astounding 61% of growth in global seaborne trade during this period. However, this share is projected to fall to 11% in 2015.
Growth in dry bulk trade in the last decade was driven by rapid economic development in China which boosted imports, particularly of iron ore, coal and other minerals. However, this year, Chinese imports have slowed notably, with coal down 31% y-o-y in the first eight months of 2015, due to falling coal demand and coal quality regulations. This is expected to contribute to the first decline in global coal trade in almost 30 years. Meanwhile, iron ore trade is expected to grow at its slowest pace since 2001, partly as global steel output has declined this year.
Mixed Box Signals
Seaborne container trade has also grown at a fairly firm pace in recent years, largely on the back of growing Chinese exports. In 2005-14, box trade growth accounted for 22% of world seaborne trade growth. This share is projected to rise to 30% in 2015 in part due to limited growth in dry bulk trade. However, box trade growth is expected to slow this year. Recent indicators suggest trade volumes on some routes have been fairly weak in the year to date, especially into Europe. Meanwhile, expansion of intra-Asian trade, which has been one of the fastest growing elements of box trade in recent years, has not been as firm as originally expected, due to economic developments in the region this year.
Oil Trade On The Up
Seaborne oil trade has been considered to be fairly mature in recent years, registering average growth of 1% pa in 2005-14. This year, relatively firm growth of 4% is expected, as Chinese crude imports have surged partly in response to low oil prices. Meanwhile, European crude imports have grown this year as refinery margins in the region have improved. Crude imports into Europe are expected to rise 8% y-o-y in full year 2015, following two consecutive years of decline. Consequently, with a downward trend in the trade of other major cargoes, the share of growth in world seaborne trade accounted for by oil trade is expected to rise from 1% in 2010-14 to 40% this year.
Watching the Economy
So, developments in the world economy are having a visible impact, with seaborne trade growth more balanced but slowing. It is clear that these changes are affecting shipping markets, and further revisions to trade projections for this year could yet cement this change in the balance even further.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 25 August 15
INDONESIA MINERS' NPLS TO RISE FURTHER, BANK RISKS BUILD - FITCH
The NPLs of Indonesian mine and mine services companies are likely to rise further in the short term, says Fitch Ratings, after reaching multi-year ...
Tuesday, 25 August 15
MINER'S EARNINGS DROP ON FALLING COAL PRICES; Q2'16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.23 A TON
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 24 August 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS HIT FRESH LOW, DIPPING BELOW $42 A TON
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down $ 2.20 per MT (-5.01%) month over month to US$ 41.70 per mt. The swap ...
Monday, 24 August 15
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 48.65 PMT
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US$ 1.89 (3.74%) per MT month over month.
A commodity ...
Monday, 24 August 15
IS CHINA'S STEEL EXPORTS ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE FREIGHT MARKET? - BIMCO
No, it’s not enough, you will need lower Chinese iron ore production too in order to keep growing imports of iron ore into China that will su ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Coal Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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