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Tuesday, 15 September 15
WORLD SEABORNE TRADE: ENTERING INTO A ROLE REVERSAL? - CLARKSONS
 Over the past decade, world seaborne trade growth has been dominated by dry bulk and container trade. However, developments in the global economy this year have led to slower trade growth in these sectors, while oil trade growth, which has accounted for a smaller share of world trade growth over the last decade, has emerged as the largest driver of global trade growth in 2015 so far.
Dry Bulk Slowdown
Dry bulk trade has been one of the fastest growing elements of seaborne trade in the last decade, recording a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% in the 2005-14 period. Expansion in dry bulk trade volumes accounted for an astounding 61% of growth in global seaborne trade during this period. However, this share is projected to fall to 11% in 2015.
Growth in dry bulk trade in the last decade was driven by rapid economic development in China which boosted imports, particularly of iron ore, coal and other minerals. However, this year, Chinese imports have slowed notably, with coal down 31% y-o-y in the first eight months of 2015, due to falling coal demand and coal quality regulations. This is expected to contribute to the first decline in global coal trade in almost 30 years. Meanwhile, iron ore trade is expected to grow at its slowest pace since 2001, partly as global steel output has declined this year.
Mixed Box Signals
Seaborne container trade has also grown at a fairly firm pace in recent years, largely on the back of growing Chinese exports. In 2005-14, box trade growth accounted for 22% of world seaborne trade growth. This share is projected to rise to 30% in 2015 in part due to limited growth in dry bulk trade. However, box trade growth is expected to slow this year. Recent indicators suggest trade volumes on some routes have been fairly weak in the year to date, especially into Europe. Meanwhile, expansion of intra-Asian trade, which has been one of the fastest growing elements of box trade in recent years, has not been as firm as originally expected, due to economic developments in the region this year.
Oil Trade On The Up
Seaborne oil trade has been considered to be fairly mature in recent years, registering average growth of 1% pa in 2005-14. This year, relatively firm growth of 4% is expected, as Chinese crude imports have surged partly in response to low oil prices. Meanwhile, European crude imports have grown this year as refinery margins in the region have improved. Crude imports into Europe are expected to rise 8% y-o-y in full year 2015, following two consecutive years of decline. Consequently, with a downward trend in the trade of other major cargoes, the share of growth in world seaborne trade accounted for by oil trade is expected to rise from 1% in 2010-14 to 40% this year.
Watching the Economy
So, developments in the world economy are having a visible impact, with seaborne trade growth more balanced but slowing. It is clear that these changes are affecting shipping markets, and further revisions to trade projections for this year could yet cement this change in the balance even further.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 28 September 15
CAPESIZE FLEET INCREASES BY JUST 1 VESSEL DURING LAST 12 MONTHS, IN POSITIVE SIGN FOR DRY BULK SHIPPING MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
After a rather tumultuous period, the shipping industry and more particular the dry bulk market has started to adjust to the new realities of globa ...
Monday, 28 September 15
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP ROSE 2.73 PER CENT M-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery moved upward US$ 1.45 (3.04 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity ...
Sunday, 27 September 15
THE PANAMAX INDEX FELL 1.19 PCT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI closed Friday (25/09/2015) at 943 points, down by 17 points compared to previous Friday closing (18/09/2015). The BDI wa ...
Friday, 25 September 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. FOR THE WEEK ENDING SEPTEMBER 19 ROSE 2.5% PER CENT W-W
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.8 million shor ...
Wednesday, 23 September 15
CAPESIZE: SPOT RATES HAVE INCREASED MORE THAN 70 PER CENT DURING LAST WEEK
Dry Bulk owners, always look at September as the time that the market “signals” what lies ahead for the remainder of the year. The Chin ...
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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